Auburn vs Ole Miss Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
AUB	0	9	6	0	15
MISS	0	14	10	21	45

Auburn vs Ole Miss picks

3 picks · Ole Miss by 3 · 51 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

MISS MLodds up −455 Won 91%

Ole Miss wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model76.5% SportsbooksOdds82.8% Edge−6.3

Spread

AUB +21.5odds down −345 Lost 81%

Auburn wins, or loses by 21 points or fewer.

Confidence81%

Model72.0% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+2.8

Total

Under 64.5odds up −208 Won 74%

The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model69.6% SportsbooksOdds67.1% Edge+2.5

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Auburn77731424

Ole Miss770131427

Most likely final scoresAUB 24–27 MISS 0.5%AUB 14–28 MISS 0.5%AUB 21–28 MISS 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

AuburnOle Miss

Offense

365▼ 312 Total yards ▲ 487439

214▲ 249 Passing yards ▼ 263282

151▼ 63 Rushing yards ▲ 224157

20▲ 24 First downs ▲ 3124

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▲ 63

1= 1 Passing touchdowns = 22

2▼ 1 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 41

1= 1 Field goals made ▼ 12

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers = 11

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown = 11

1▲ 2 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

67= 67 Penalty yards ▲ 9557

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 292.5 Proj. 365 72% Won · 312

Passing yards Over 156.5 Proj. 214 72% Won · 249

Rushing yards Over 99.5 Proj. 151 72% Lost · 63

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70% Won · 24

Total yards Over 366.5 Proj. 439 72% Won · 487

Passing yards Over 224.5 Proj. 282 72% Won · 263

Rushing yards Over 105.5 Proj. 157 72% Won · 224

First downs Over 20.5 Proj. 24 73% Won · 31

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Auburn

QB Byrum Brown18/30 · 194 pass yds · 0.8 TD · 0.8 INT 194pass yds

RB Jeremiah Cobb8 carries · 40 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 1 rec 40rush yds

WR/TE Keshaun Singleton5 rec · 60 yds · 0.2 TD 60rec yds

WR/TE Chas Nimrod5 rec · 53 yds · 0.3 TD 53rec yds

Ole Miss

QB Trinidad Chambliss24/37 · 270 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT 270pass yds

RB Kewan Lacy14 carries · 69 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 1 rec 69rush yds

WR/TE Deuce Alexander6 rec · 77 yds · 0.5 TD 77rec yds

WR/TE Caleb Odom5 rec · 54 yds · 0.2 TD 54rec yds

Road form. Auburn is 1-1 on the road this season, losing by 3.5 points a game.

Home form. Ole Miss is 4-0 at home, scoring 36.3 points a game there.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

AuburnOle Miss

4-3Record5-2

1-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home

L1StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

25.4Points per game36.0

24.1Points allowed25.3

+9 Point differentialseason to date +75

211Passing yards / game285

162Rushing yards / game146

43%3rd-down conversion45%

11Takeaways10

0Sacks0

9Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Auburn’s road games with Ole Miss’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.