Auburn vs Georgia Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
AUB	7	10	7	3	27
UGA	14	0	0	10	24

Auburn vs Georgia picks

3 picks · Georgia by 24 · 52 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

UGA MLodds down −2500 Lost 95%

Georgia wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model85.9% SportsbooksOdds93.2% Edge−7.3

Spread

AUB +27.5odds down −278 Won 80%

Auburn wins, or loses by 27 points or fewer.

Confidence80%

Model70.3% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge+1.7

TotalBest pick

Over 41.5odds down −294 Won 81%

The two teams score 42 or more points between them.

Confidence81%

Model74.4% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge+4.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Auburn0077014

Georgia7141072138

Most likely final scoresAUB 14–38 UGA 0.6%AUB 10–34 UGA 0.5%AUB 21–28 UGA 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

AuburnGeorgia

Offense

319▲ 341 Total yards ▲ 440414

202▼ 174 Passing yards ▲ 327230

117▲ 167 Rushing yards ▼ 113184

18▲ 20 First downs ▲ 2422

Scoring

2▲ 3 Touchdowns ▼ 35

1▲ 2 Passing touchdowns = 22

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 13

0▲ 1 Field goals made = 11

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▲ 31

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

55▲ 85 Penalty yards ▼ 4554

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 245.5 Proj. 319 72% Won · 341

Passing yards Over 144.5 Proj. 202 72% Won · 174

Rushing yards Over 65.5 Proj. 117 72% Won · 167

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 18 74% Won · 20

Total yards Over 340.5 Proj. 414 72% Won · 440

Passing yards Over 173.5 Proj. 230 72% Won · 327

Rushing yards Over 131.5 Proj. 184 72% Lost · 113

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 70% Won · 24

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Auburn

QB Byrum Brown20/32 · 193 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.8 INT 193pass yds

RB Jeremiah Cobb7 carries · 32 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 32rush yds

WR/TE Keshaun Singleton5 rec · 59 yds · 0.1 TD 59rec yds

WR/TE Chas Nimrod5 rec · 50 yds · 0.3 TD 50rec yds

Georgia

QB Gunner Stockton16/22 · 189 pass yds · 1.6 TD · 0.7 INT 189pass yds

RB Dwight Phillips Jr.7 carries · 41 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec 41rush yds

WR/TE Talyn Taylor3 rec · 37 yds · 0.4 TD 37rec yds

WR/TE London Humphreys3 rec · 20 yds · 0.4 TD 20rec yds

Road form. Auburn is 0-1 on the road this season, losing by 10.0 points a game.

Home form. Georgia is 4-0 at home, scoring 53.0 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at UGA −18.5 and is now UGA −20.5, a 2-point move toward Georgia.

Rest. Auburn comes in on 14 days’ rest, Georgia on 7.

Streak. Georgia has won 6 in a row.

Tale of the tape

AuburnGeorgia

3-2Record6-0

0-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home

L1StreakW6

14 daysRest7 days

26.8Points per game46.2

21.4Points allowed14.0

+27 Point differentialseason to date +193

220Passing yards / game263

180Rushing yards / game212

47%3rd-down conversion55%

8Takeaways11

0Sacks0

9Turnovers5

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Auburn’s road games with Georgia’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.