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Arkansas State vs Coastal Carolina prediction, picks and odds

Back to the college football picks NCAA FBS picks Week 11 Saturday, November 14 · 1:00 PM ET
Arkansas St
Away · 4-5ML −102
1:00PM Kickoff Sat, Nov 14 · ET
Coastal
ML −120Home · 3-6
SpreadCCU −1.5
Total51.5 points
Kickoff in2d 21h
Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Odds
Updated 3:17 PM ET

Arkansas St vs Coastal picks

3 picks · Arkansas St by 3 · 51 points
Moneyline
ARST MLodds up −106 57%
Arkansas St wins the game.
Confidence57%
Model52.1% SportsbooksOdds49.3% Edge+2.8
SpreadBest pick
ARST +7.5odds down −270 78%
Arkansas St wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model73.2% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+4.0
Total
Over 43.5odds down −286 74%
The two teams score 44 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model66.1% SportsbooksOdds68.7% Edge−2.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Arkansas St710731727
Coastal70710724
Most likely final scoresARST 27–24 CCU 0.6%ARST 31–24 CCU 0.5%ARST 28–21 CCU 0.5%
Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Arkansas StCoastal

Offense

383 Total yards 369
233 Passing yards 213
150 Rushing yards 156
21 First downs 20

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 3
2 Passing touchdowns 2
1 Rushing touchdowns 1
2 Field goals made 1

Ball security

1 Turnovers 2
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
0 Sacks allowed 0
54 Penalty yards 59
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 309.5 Proj. 383 72%
Passing yards Over 175.5 Proj. 233 72%
Rushing yards Over 97.5 Proj. 150 72%
First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 70%
Total yards Over 296.5 Proj. 369 72%
Passing yards Over 156.5 Proj. 213 72%
Rushing yards Over 104.5 Proj. 156 72%
First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 20 74%
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Arkansas St
QB Trey Owens20/31 · 233 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 1.0 INT 233pass yds
RB Solomon Baggett11 carries · 52 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 2 rec 52rush yds
WR/TE Jaylen Bonelli4 rec · 63 yds · 0.4 TD 63rec yds
WR/TE Chauncy Cobb4 rec · 46 yds · 0.0 TD 46rec yds
Coastal
QB Deuce Bailey16/27 · 211 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.9 INT 211pass yds
RB Dominic Knicely15 carries · 92 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 92rush yds
WR/TE Karmello English4 rec · 44 yds · 0.5 TD 44rec yds
WR/TE Clayton Coppock3 rec · 39 yds · 0.4 TD 39rec yds

Arkansas State visits Coastal Carolina in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET. Arkansas State comes in at 4-5 and Coastal Carolina at 3-6. The moneyline has Arkansas State at −102 and Coastal Carolina at −120.

Our model predicts a final score of Arkansas St 27, Coastal 24. Its picks: Arkansas State to win (−106); Arkansas State +7.5 (−270); over 43.5 points (−286). The best pick is Arkansas State +7.5, at 78% confidence.