Moneyline
SF MLodds up −217
64%
The 49ers win the game.
Confidence64%
Model56.9%
SportsbooksOdds67.0%
Edge−10.1
San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys prediction, picks and odds
Updated 1:48 PM ET
49ers vs Cowboys picks
3 picks · 49ers by 3 · 51 pointsSpreadBest pick
DAL +9.5odds up −250
78%
The Cowboys win, or lose by nine points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model73.7%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge+5.1
Total
Under 62.5odds up −244
77%
The two teams score 62 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model77.2%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge+8.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
49ers0101071027
Cowboys107071724
Most likely final scoresSF 27–24 DAL 0.8%SF 30–27 DAL 0.7%SF 20–17 DAL 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
49ersCowboys
Offense
367
Total yards
335
230
Passing yards
235
137
Rushing yards
100
21
First downs
20
Scoring
3
Touchdowns
3
2
Passing touchdowns
2
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
2
Field goals made
1
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
2
Sacks allowed
2
56
Penalty yards
55
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 320.5
Proj. 367
72%
Passing yards
Over 188.5
Proj. 230
72%
Rushing yards
Over 109.5
Proj. 138
72%
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
73%
Total yards
Over 288.5
Proj. 335
72%
Passing yards
Over 194.5
Proj. 236
72%
Rushing yards
Over 71.5
Proj. 100
72%
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 20
72%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
49ers
QB
Brock Purdy21/32 · 230 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
230pass yds
RB
Christian McCaffrey13 carries · 62 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 5 rec
62rush yds
WR/TE
George Kittle6 rec · 62 yds · 0.7 TD
62rec yds
WR/TE
Jordan Watkins3 rec · 49 yds · 0.3 TD
49rec yds
Cowboys
QB
Dak Prescott24/35 · 235 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
235pass yds
RB
Javonte Williams18 carries · 71 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 3 rec
71rush yds
WR/TE
CeeDee Lamb8 rec · 87 yds · 0.9 TD
87rec yds
WR/TE
Ryan Flournoy4 rec · 48 yds · 0.4 TD
48rec yds
Road form. The 49ers are 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 4.7 points a game.
Home form. The Cowboys are 1-3 at home, scoring 28.5 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 54.5 and is now 55.5.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
The series. The 49ers have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.
Tale of the tape
San Francisco 49ersDallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ersDallas Cowboys
7-1Record4-5
2-1 roadRoad / home1-3 home
W1StreakW1
7 daysRest7 days
29.4Points per game27.3
19.5Points allowed26.2
1st NFC WestDivision2nd NFC East
+79
Point differentialseason to date
+10
6.4Yards per play5.6
242Passing yards / game257
135Rushing yards / game104
52%3rd-down conversion45%
85%Red-zone touchdowns71%
12Takeaways8
15Sacks17
11Turnovers9
5.7Yards per play5.5
219Passing yards / game254
130Rushing yards / game89
44%3rd-down conversion44%
88%Red-zone touchdowns69%
6Takeaways3
5Sacks6
8Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the 49ers’ road games with the Cowboys’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
49ers
7-1
WWWLW
Wk 9Nov 8vs LV
Raiders1749ers38
Raiders moneyline +36049ers moneyline −476
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25@ ATL
49ers20Falcons29
49ers moneyline −143Falcons moneyline +121
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 19vs WAS
Commanders1749ers23
Commanders moneyline +31049ers moneyline −385
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ SEA
49ers32Seahawks29
49ers moneyline +130Seahawks moneyline −159
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs DEN
Broncos1449ers24
Broncos moneyline +13049ers moneyline −175
WFINAL
Cowboys
4-5
LLWLW
Wk 9Nov 8@ IND
Cowboys27Colts23
Cowboys moneyline −222Colts moneyline +175
WFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1vs ARI
Cardinals33Cowboys30
Cardinals moneyline +280Cowboys moneyline −357
LF/OT
Wk 7Oct 26@ PHI
Cowboys38Eagles21
Cowboys moneyline −222Eagles moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ GB
Cowboys13Packers23
Cowboys moneyline −115Packers moneyline −105
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 8vs TB
Buccaneers24Cowboys16
Buccaneers moneyline +370Cowboys moneyline −526
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this gameNFC West
NFC East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last three meetings · regular season and playoffs
49ERS
3
Wins
Avg. points30.3 – 15.3
Avg. total45.7 pts
Over closing total2 of 3
0
COWBOYS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 8Levi's Stadium
Cowboys2449ers30
Cowboys moneyline +19549ers moneyline −250
2023 · Wk 5Levi's Stadium
Cowboys1049ers42
Cowboys moneyline +15749ers moneyline −189
2022 · DivisionalLevi's Stadium
Cowboys1249ers19
Cowboys moneyline +16549ers moneyline −189
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (SF)−213−213
Moneyline (DAL)+170+170
Spread (DAL)+3.5+3.5
Total54.5up 55.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable first49ers
INACTIVE
Enrique Cruz Jr.
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Kurtis RourkeQB
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Mike EvansWR
Inactive for Week 9 vs. Las Vegas
INACTIVE
Tatum BethuneLB
Coach's Decision
OUT
Gracen HaltonDT
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Deommodore LenoirCB
Foot
QUESTIONABLE
Renardo GreenCB
Back
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 12
IRAusten PleasantsKnee
IRNickolas MartinLBHamstring
IRChristian KirkKnee - Meniscus
IRNate HobbsGroin
IRAlfred CollinsDTKnee
IRDarrick ForrestUndisclosed
IRJake TongesKnee - MCL
IRMikail KamaraKnee
IRNick ZakeljUndisclosed
IRSam OkuayinonuDTFoot
IRRicky PearsallKnee - PCL
PUPIsaac GuerendoPectoral
Cowboys
INACTIVE
Ajani Cornelius
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
DeMarvion OvershownLB
Inactive for Week 9 at Indianapolis
INACTIVE
George PickensWR
Inactive for Week 9 at Indianapolis
INACTIVE
Joey Porter Jr.CB
Inactive for Week 9 at Indianapolis
INACTIVE
KaVontae TurpinWR
Inactive for Week 9 at Indianapolis
INACTIVE
Luke SchoonmakerTE
Inactive for Week 9 at Indianapolis
INACTIVE
Tyrus WheatLB
Coach's Decision
QUESTIONABLE
Donovan EzeiruakuLB
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Jake FergusonTE
Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Jonathan MingoWR
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
P.J. LockeS
Concussion
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 8
IRDevin MooreCBHip
IRJalen ThompsonSHamstring
IRJonathan BullardDTCalf
IRMalachi LawrenceLBAnkle
IRKelvin GilliamDTTriceps
IRMalik DavisRBHip
IRMatt HennessyNeck
IRPrinceton FantKnee - ACL + MCL
The San Francisco 49ers visit the Dallas Cowboys in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 15 at 4:25 PM ET, at AT&T Stadium, Arlington. The 49ers come in at 7-1 and the Cowboys at 4-5. The moneyline has the 49ers at −213 and the Cowboys at +170.
Our model predicts a final score of 49ers 27, Cowboys 24. Its picks: the 49ers to win (−217); the Cowboys +9.5 (−250); under 62.5 points (−244). The best pick is the Cowboys +9.5, at 78% confidence.