NCAA FCS Missouri Valley

South Dakota State football predictions & picks

Missouri Valley

2026 record: 8-2
Missouri Valley: 1st
PPG: 36.9
Streak: W3
Last 5: Won 31–14 at Illinois State · Sat, Oct 3 Lost 10–21 at North Dakota · Sat, Oct 17 Won 42–9 vs Murray State · Sat, Oct 24 Won 31–21 vs South Dakota · Sat, Oct 31 Won 41–15 at Northern Iowa · Sat, Nov 7

South Dakota State next game

Wk 11

S Dakota St @2:00 PM ET Saturday, November 14 S Illinois

Picks

The model publishes its moneyline, spread and over/under picks in the days before kickoff. They will be here, and on the game’s own page.

South Dakota State 2026 schedule & results

Every pick graded once the game ends

WeekOpponentResult Our best pickGame page

Wk 1Sat, Aug 29Aug 29 vs Stetson Stetson W70–7 —

Wk 1Sat, Sep 5Sep 5 @Northwestern Northwestern L18–34 —

Wk 2Sat, Sep 12Sep 12 vs New Haven New Haven W57–14 —

Wk 3Sat, Sep 19Sep 19 vs Youngstown State Youngstown St W27–20 —

Wk 4Sat, Sep 26Sep 26 vs Eastern Illinois E Illinois W42–7 —

Wk 5Sat, Oct 3Oct 3 @Illinois State Illinois St W31–14 —

Wk 7Sat, Oct 17Oct 17 @North Dakota North Dakota L10–21 —

Wk 8Sat, Oct 24Oct 24 vs Murray State Murray St W42–9 —

Wk 9Sat, Oct 31Oct 31 vs South Dakota South Dakota W31–21 —

Wk 10Sat, Nov 7Nov 7 @Northern Iowa Northern Iowa W41–15 —

Wk 11Sat, Nov 14Nov 14 @Southern Illinois S Illinois 2:00 PM ET Pick coming soon

Wk 12Sat, Nov 21Nov 21 vs Indiana State Indiana St 2:00 PM ET Pick coming soon

South Dakota State team stats

2026 regular season · 10 games · rank among 127 FCS teams

Offense

Points 36.9/ game 9th

Total yards 470.8/ game 6th

Passing yards 211.5/ game 61st

Rushing yards 259.3/ game 1st

Third-down conversions 40.2% 54th

Giveaways 0.7/ game 6th

Time of possession 31:08 32nd

Defense

Points allowed 16.2/ game 5th

Yards allowed 287.4/ game 6th

Passing yards allowed 182.7/ game 24th

Rushing yards allowed 104.7/ game 8th

Takeaways 1.3/ game 67th

Penalties 6.6/ game 80th

South Dakota State leaders

2026 regular season

Passing Chase Mason 1,613yds 9 TD · 1 INT · 55.7% comp. · 8 games

Rushing Josiah Johnson 1,061yds 12 TD · 6.1 per carry · 10 games

Receiving Jack Smith 559yds 39 catches · 3 TD · 10 games

Tackles Jes Krcil 65 10 games

Sacks Logan Green 3.5 10 games

Interceptions Joe Ollman 1 2 passes defended · 8 games

Missouri Valley standings

All college standings

#Team WLT W-L PCTPFPA DIFFSTRKSTK

1 South Dakota State S Dakota St 820 8-2 .800 369162 +207 W3

2 Youngstown State Youngstown St 820 8-2 .800 406248 +158 W6

3 Illinois State Illinois St 730 7-3 .700 337193 +144 L1

4 South Dakota South Dakota 730 7-3 .700 360249 +111 L1

5 North Dakota North Dakota 740 7-4 .636 393279 +114 W1

6 Southern Illinois S Illinois 550 5-5 .500 240257 −17 W2

7 Northern Iowa Northern Iowa 450 4-5 .444 231260 −29 L1

8 Indiana State Indiana St 280 2-8 .200 247360 −113 L6

9 Murray State Murray St 190 1-9 .100 167431 −264 L7

South Dakota State FAQ

Who does South Dakota State play next?

Next up for South Dakota State: on the road at Southern Illinois, Saturday, November 14, 2:00 PM ET. Our picks for it go up in the days before kickoff.

What is South Dakota State’s record this season?

South Dakota State is 8-2, 1st in the Missouri Valley.

Who leads South Dakota State in passing yards?

Chase Mason, with 1,613 passing yards in the 2026 regular season (9 TD · 1 INT · 55.7% comp. · 8 games).

Missouri Valley rivals

All teams

Illinois State Indiana State Murray State North Dakota Northern Iowa South Dakota Southern Illinois Youngstown State

South Dakota State this week

South Dakota State is 8-2, 5-1 in Missouri Valley play. Its last game was a 41–15 win over Northern Iowa on November 7, its third in a row. Its offense averages 36.9 points a game (9th in FCS), and its defense allows 16.2 (5th).

Next up, South Dakota State visits Southern Illinois on Saturday, November 14 at 2:00 PM ET. The rest of the week’s games are on the college football picks board.