Wisconsin vs Maryland Prediction & Picks

Wisconsin vs Maryland picks

3 picks · Wisconsin by 7 · 49 points

MoneylineBest pick

WIS MLodds down −357 83%

Wisconsin wins the game.

Confidence83%

Model66.3% SportsbooksOdds73.1% Edge−6.8

Spread

MD +16.5odds down −256 81%

Maryland wins, or loses by 16 points or fewer.

Confidence81%

Model71.8% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+3.7

Total

Over 36.5−270 74%

The two teams score 37 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.4% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge+0.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Wisconsin770141428

Maryland014071421

Most likely final scoresWIS 28–21 MD 0.7%WIS 24–21 MD 0.6%WIS 28–14 MD 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

WisconsinMaryland

Offense

348 Total yards 318

203 Passing yards 212

145 Rushing yards 106

19 First downs 18

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 2

2 Passing touchdowns 1

1 Rushing touchdowns 1

2 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

52 Penalty yards 51

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 275.5 Proj. 348 72%

Passing yards Over 146.5 Proj. 203 72%

Rushing yards Over 92.5 Proj. 145 72%

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 71%

Total yards Over 244.5 Proj. 318 72%

Passing yards Over 154.5 Proj. 211 72%

Rushing yards Over 54.5 Proj. 106 72%

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 18 74%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Wisconsin

QB Ryan Hopkins14/19 · 160 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 160pass yds

RB Abu Sama III10 carries · 49 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec 49rush yds

WR/TE Jaylon Domingeaux4 rec · 55 yds · 0.0 TD 55rec yds

WR/TE Eugene Hilton Jr.3 rec · 28 yds · 0.4 TD 28rec yds

Maryland

QB Malik Washington20/33 · 211 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 211pass yds

RB DeJuan Williams16 carries · 60 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 60rush yds

WR/TE Chris Durr Jr.6 rec · 92 yds · 0.4 TD 92rec yds

WR/TE Kaleb Webb3 rec · 31 yds · 0.0 TD 31rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at MD +7.5 and is now MD +8.5, a 1-point move toward Wisconsin.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

WisconsinMaryland

6-3Record3-6

W1StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

24.4Points per game27.7

16.3Points allowed31.3

8th Big TenConference16th Big Ten

+73 Point differentialseason to date −33

187Passing yards / game240

137Rushing yards / game130

42%3rd-down conversion36%

9Takeaways12

0Sacks0

10Turnovers10

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Wisconsin’s road games with Maryland’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.