Moneyline
TTU MLodds up −833
Won 95%
Texas Tech wins the game.
Confidence95%
Model90.4%
SportsbooksOdds88.7%
Edge+1.7
West Virginia vs Texas Tech prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WVU | 17 | 10 | 21 | 0 | 48 |
| TTU | 14 | 27 | 0 | 12 | 53 |
WEST VIRGINIA 10%
Pre-game win chance
90% TEXAS TECH
TTU by 28 · 56 points
Updated Nov 8, 1:43 AM ET
West Virginia vs Texas Tech picks
3 picks · Texas Tech by 28 · 56 points · 1 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
TTU −7.5odds up −256
Lost 79%
Texas Tech wins by eight points or more.
Confidence79%
Model77.2%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge+8.0
Total
Under 73.5odds up −208
Lost 74%
The two teams score 73 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model80.0%
SportsbooksOdds68.7%
Edge+11.3
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
West Virginia0707714
Texas Tech1471472142
Most likely final scoresWVU 14–42 TTU 0.7%WVU 7–35 TTU 0.6%WVU 17–45 TTU 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
West VirginiaTexas Tech
Offense
364▲ 582
Total yards
▲ 638487
231▲ 303
Passing yards
▲ 362280
133▲ 279
Rushing yards
▲ 276207
19▼ 18
First downs
▲ 2624
Scoring
2▲ 6
Touchdowns
▲ 75
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 52
1▲ 5
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 23
0▲ 2
Field goals made
▼ 12
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
52▲ 75
Penalty yards
▼ 4959
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 291.5
Proj. 364
72%
Won · 582
Passing yards
Over 174.5
Proj. 232
72%
Won · 303
Rushing yards
Over 80.5
Proj. 133
72%
Won · 279
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 19
75%
Won · 18
Total yards
Over 414.5
Proj. 487
72%
Won · 638
Passing yards
Over 223.5
Proj. 280
72%
Won · 362
Rushing yards
Over 154.5
Proj. 207
72%
Won · 276
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 24
74%
Won · 26
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
West Virginia
QB
Michael Hawkins Jr.18/31 · 231 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
231pass yds
RB
Cam Cook18 carries · 65 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec
65rush yds
WR/TE
DJ Epps5 rec · 93 yds · 0.6 TD
93rec yds
WR/TE
Prince Strachan4 rec · 57 yds · 0.0 TD
57rec yds
Texas Tech
QB
Thomas Castellanos4/8 · 57 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.1 INT
57pass yds
RB
J'Koby Williams12 carries · 94 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec
94rush yds
WR/TE
Kenny Johnson5 rec · 96 yds · 0.6 TD
96rec yds
WR/TE
Terrance Carter4 rec · 46 yds · 0.8 TD
46rec yds
Road form. West Virginia is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 4.0 points a game.
Home form. Texas Tech is 5-0 at home, scoring 39.4 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at TTU −14.5 and is now TTU −16.5, a 2-point move toward Texas Tech.
Rest. West Virginia comes in on 14 days’ rest, Texas Tech on 7.
Tale of the tape
West VirginiaTexas Tech
West VirginiaTexas Tech
5-3Record7-1
2-1 roadRoad / home5-0 home
W2StreakW1
14 daysRest7 days
35.9Points per game35.6
32.3Points allowed21.1
+29
Point differentialseason to date
+116
207Passing yards / game219
262Rushing yards / game207
48%3rd-down conversion38%
10Takeaways14
0Sacks0
8Turnovers13
165Passing yards / game238
241Rushing yards / game230
40%3rd-down conversion43%
4Takeaways7
0Sacks0
3Turnovers9
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares West Virginia’s road games with Texas Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
West Virginia
5-3
LLLWW
Wk 8Oct 24@ TCU
West Virginia24TCU20
West Virginia moneyline +290TCU moneyline −417
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs CIN
Cincinnati42West Virginia45
Cincinnati moneyline +100West Virginia moneyline −123
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ARIZ
Arizona52West Virginia31
Arizona moneyline −172West Virginia moneyline +143
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ ISU
West Virginia42Iowa State45
West Virginia moneyline +122Iowa State moneyline −161
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs OKST
Oklahoma St41West Virginia24
Oklahoma St moneyline +104West Virginia moneyline −132
LFINAL
Texas Tech
7-1
WWWLW
Wk 9Oct 31vs ARIZ
Arizona26Texas Tech34
Arizona moneyline +145Texas Tech moneyline −213
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ CIN
Texas Tech24Cincinnati37
Texas Tech moneyline −500Cincinnati moneyline +330
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs ASU
Arizona St25Texas Tech53
Arizona St moneyline +540Texas Tech moneyline −833
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ COLO
Texas Tech29Colorado7
Texas Tech moneyline −667Colorado moneyline +420
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs SHSU
Sam Houston14Texas Tech49
Sam Houston moneyline +1500Texas Tech moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameBig 12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
WEST VIRGINIA
0
Wins
Avg. points0.0 – 49.0
Avg. total49.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
TEXAS TECH
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 14West Virginia home
Texas Tech49West Virginia0
Texas Tech moneyline −3333West Virginia moneyline +925
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WVU)+525+525
Moneyline (TTU)−833−833
Spread (TTU)−14.5down −16.5
Total62.5up 67.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Texas Tech beat West Virginia 53–48 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 9:30 PM ET. The moneyline had West Virginia at +525 and Texas Tech at −833.
Our model predicted a final score of West Virginia 14, Texas Tech 42. Its picks: Texas Tech to win (−833), won; Texas Tech −7.5 (−256), lost; under 73.5 points (−208), lost. The best pick was Texas Tech −7.5, at 79% confidence.