West Virginia vs TCU Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
WVU	3	7	7	7	24
TCU	7	3	10	0	20

West Virginia vs TCU picks

3 picks · TCU by 7 · 63 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

TCU MLodds down −400 Lost 91%

TCU wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model72.1% SportsbooksOdds75.0% Edge−2.9

Spread

WVU +17.5odds up −238 Won 79%

West Virginia wins, or loses by 17 points or fewer.

Confidence79%

Model68.4% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge−1.4

Total

Under 64.5odds up −196 Won 74%

The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.6% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+2.5

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

West Virginia147072128

TCU777141435

Most likely final scoresWVU 28–35 TCU 0.6%WVU 28–31 TCU 0.5%WVU 21–28 TCU 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

West VirginiaTCU

Offense

380▼ 265 Total yards ▲ 484461

215▼ 79 Passing yards ▲ 372317

165▲ 186 Rushing yards ▼ 112144

20▼ 17 First downs ▲ 2922

Scoring

3= 3 Touchdowns ▼ 24

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

2= 2 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 12

2▼ 1 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers ▲ 31

1= 1 Interceptions thrown = 11

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▲ 21

0 Sacks allowed 0

49= 49 Penalty yards ▲ 8160

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 306.5 Proj. 380 72% Lost · 265

Passing yards Over 157.5 Proj. 215 72% Lost · 79

Rushing yards Over 112.5 Proj. 165 72% Won · 186

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 72% Won · 17

Total yards Over 388.5 Proj. 461 72% Won · 484

Passing yards Over 260.5 Proj. 318 72% Won · 372

Rushing yards Over 91.5 Proj. 144 72% Won · 112

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 73% Won · 29

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

West Virginia

QB Michael Hawkins Jr.15/26 · 207 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.6 INT 207pass yds

RB Cam Cook18 carries · 70 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec 70rush yds

WR/TE DJ Epps4 rec · 91 yds · 0.5 TD 91rec yds

WR/TE Prince Strachan3 rec · 52 yds · 0.0 TD 52rec yds

TCU

QB Jaden Craig22/32 · 317 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT 317pass yds

RB Jeremy Payne16 carries · 93 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 4 rec 93rush yds

WR/TE Ed Small6 rec · 93 yds · 0.4 TD 93rec yds

WR/TE Kari Ashley5 rec · 73 yds · 0.8 TD 73rec yds

Road form. West Virginia is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 4.0 points a game.

Home form. TCU is 2-2 at home, scoring 28.5 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at TCU −6.5 and is now TCU −10.5, a 4-point move toward TCU.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

West VirginiaTCU

4-3Record3-3

1-1 roadRoad / home2-2 home

W1StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

37.6Points per game24.0

34.0Points allowed12.2

+25 Point differentialseason to date +71

225Passing yards / game282

272Rushing yards / game110

50%3rd-down conversion41%

7Takeaways8

0Sacks0

7Turnovers9

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares West Virginia’s road games with TCU’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.