MoneylineBest pick
NEB MLodds up −357
Lost 86%
Nebraska wins the game.
Confidence86%
Model69.4%
SportsbooksOdds76.7%
Edge−7.3
Washington vs Nebraska prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASH | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 17 |
| NEB | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 |
WASHINGTON 31%
Pre-game win chance
69% NEBRASKA
NEB by 7 · 49 points
Updated Nov 4, 11:36 PM ET
Washington vs Nebraska picks
3 picks · Nebraska by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 wonSpread
WASH +17.5odds down −294
Won 80%
Washington wins, or loses by 17 points or fewer.
Confidence80%
Model71.2%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge+1.4
Total
Over 42.5−256
Lost 74%
The two teams score 43 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model69.0%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+0.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Washington7077721
Nebraska77771428
Most likely final scoresWASH 21–28 NEB 0.6%WASH 21–24 NEB 0.6%WASH 24–27 NEB 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
WashingtonNebraska
Offense
328
Total yards
381
218
Passing yards
223
110
Rushing yards
158
18
First downs
21
Scoring
3▼ 2
Touchdowns
▼ 13
2
Passing touchdowns
2
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
0▲ 1
Field goals made
▼ 12
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
0
Sacks allowed
0
54
Penalty yards
59
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 255.5
Proj. 329
72%
Void
Passing yards
Over 161.5
Proj. 219
72%
Void
Rushing yards
Over 57.5
Proj. 110
72%
Void
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 18
70%
Void
Total yards
Over 308.5
Proj. 381
72%
Void
Passing yards
Over 166.5
Proj. 223
72%
Void
Rushing yards
Over 105.5
Proj. 158
72%
Void
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
72%
Void
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Washington
QB
Elijah Brown12/19 · 124 pass yds · 1.3 TD · 0.6 INT
124pass yds
RB
Brian Bonner Jr.11 carries · 55 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec
55rush yds
WR/TE
Dezmen Roebuck5 rec · 57 yds · 0.4 TD
57rec yds
WR/TE
Chris Lawson4 rec · 51 yds · 0.3 TD
51rec yds
Nebraska
QB
Anthony Colandrea18/30 · 210 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.8 INT
210pass yds
RB
Mekhi Nelson10 carries · 35 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec
35rush yds
WR/TE
Kwazi Gilmer5 rec · 71 yds · 1.0 TD
71rec yds
WR/TE
Luke Lindenmeyer3 rec · 24 yds · 0.2 TD
24rec yds
Road form. Washington is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 4.0 points a game.
Home form. Nebraska is 4-1 at home, scoring 40.8 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at NEB −9.5 and is now NEB −7.5, a 2-point move toward Washington.
Rest. Washington comes in on 14 days’ rest, Nebraska on 13.
Tale of the tape
WashingtonNebraska
WashingtonNebraska
4-3Record5-2
1-1 roadRoad / home4-1 home
W1StreakL2
14 daysRest13 days
27.9Points per game35.6
22.7Points allowed15.4
+36
Point differentialseason to date
+141
283Passing yards / game235
104Rushing yards / game194
33%3rd-down conversion51%
11Takeaways10
0Sacks0
9Turnovers4
253Passing yards / game253
151Rushing yards / game225
26%3rd-down conversion54%
3Takeaways5
0Sacks0
6Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Washington’s road games with Nebraska’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Washington
4-3
WLLLW
Wk 7Oct 16@ PUR
Washington38Purdue26
Washington moneyline +133Purdue moneyline −167
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 9vs IOWA
Iowa41Washington24
Iowa moneyline +135Washington moneyline −167
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ USC
Washington21USC25
Washington moneyline +215USC moneyline −303
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs MINN
Minnesota27Washington24
Minnesota moneyline +345Washington moneyline −526
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs EW
E Washington16Washington48
E Washington: no odds on recordWashington: no odds on record
WFINAL
Nebraska
5-2
WWWLL
Wk 7Oct 17@ ORE
Nebraska14Oregon17
Nebraska moneyline +215Oregon moneyline −270
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs IU
Indiana20Nebraska17
Indiana moneyline −370Nebraska moneyline +280
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs MD
Maryland23Nebraska48
Maryland moneyline +480Nebraska moneyline −909
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ MSU
Nebraska31Michigan St13
Nebraska moneyline −250Michigan St moneyline +182
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs ND
North Dakota7Nebraska34
North Dakota moneyline +1200Nebraska moneyline −5000
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameBig Ten
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (WASH)+260+260
Moneyline (NEB)−357−357
Spread (NEB)−9.5up −7.5
Total49.549.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Washington beat Nebraska 17–10 in college football Week 9, on Friday, October 30 at 8:00 PM ET, at Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE). The moneyline had Washington at +260 and Nebraska at −357.
Our model predicted a final score of Washington 21, Nebraska 28. Its picks: Nebraska to win (−357), lost; Washington +17.5 (−294), won; over 42.5 points (−256), lost. The best pick was Nebraska to win, at 86% confidence.