Wake Forest vs California Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
WAKE	14	20	7	0	41
CAL	0	0	0	7	7

Wake Forest vs California picks

3 picks · Wake Forest by 7 · 49 points · 3 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

WAKE MLodds down −455 Won 91%

Wake Forest wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model77.6% SportsbooksOdds76.3% Edge+1.3

Spread

WAKE +1.5odds down −385 Won 85%

Wake Forest wins, or loses by one point or fewer.

Confidence85%

Model79.3% SportsbooksOdds75.8% Edge+3.5

Total

Over 45.5odds up −250 Won 74%

The two teams score 46 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model71.4% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+2.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Wake Forest77681428

California014071421

Most likely final scoresWAKE 28–21 CAL 0.6%WAKE 31–28 CAL 0.6%WAKE 35–21 CAL 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Wake ForestCalifornia

Offense

406▲ 509 Total yards ▼ 266347

244▲ 289 Passing yards ▼ 191261

162▲ 220 Rushing yards ▼ 7586

22▲ 24 First downs = 2020

Scoring

4▲ 6 Touchdowns ▼ 13

2▲ 4 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

2= 2 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 01

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

70▲ 110 Penalty yards ▼ 3766

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 332.5 Proj. 406 72% Won · 509

Passing yards Over 187.5 Proj. 244 72% Won · 289

Rushing yards Over 109.5 Proj. 162 72% Won · 220

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 22 74% Won · 24

Total yards Over 274.5 Proj. 347 72% Lost · 266

Passing yards Over 204.5 Proj. 262 72% Lost · 191

Rushing yards Over 33.5 Proj. 86 72% Won · 75

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70% Won · 20

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Wake Forest

QB Gio Lopez19/30 · 235 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 235pass yds

RB Ty Clark III11 carries · 51 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 1 rec 51rush yds

WR/TE Carlos Hernandez7 rec · 101 yds · 0.6 TD 101rec yds

WR/TE Jack Foley4 rec · 85 yds · 0.8 TD 85rec yds

California

QB Jackson Brousseau13/20 · 108 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.0 INT 108pass yds

RB Ashten Emory8 carries · 23 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec 23rush yds

WR/TE Ian Strong5 rec · 57 yds · 0.2 TD 57rec yds

WR/TE Chase Hendricks7 rec · 52 yds · 0.4 TD 52rec yds

Road form. Wake Forest is 3-0 on the road this season, winning by 9.7 points a game.

Home form. California is 2-2 at home, scoring 27.0 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at CAL +8.5 and is now CAL +10.5, a 2-point move toward Wake Forest.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Wake Forest has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Wake ForestCalifornia

5-1Record3-3

3-0 roadRoad / home2-2 home

W3StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

36.8Points per game26.7

21.5Points allowed25.5

+92 Point differentialseason to date +7

291Passing yards / game304

145Rushing yards / game93

47%3rd-down conversion38%

4Takeaways9

0Sacks0

3Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Wake Forest’s road games with California’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.