Virginia Tech vs Clemson Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
VT	3	7	0	10	20
CLEM	0	3	13	0	16

Virginia Tech vs Clemson picks

3 picks · Clemson by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

CLEM MLodds down −159 Lost 72%

Clemson wins the game.

Confidence72%

Model57.6% SportsbooksOdds55.3% Edge+2.3

SpreadBest pick

CLEM +7.5odds down −455 Won 79%

Clemson wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.

Confidence79%

Model77.6% SportsbooksOdds70.8% Edge+6.8

Total

Over 41.5odds down −270 Lost 74%

The two teams score 42 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model71.1% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+1.8

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Virginia Tech07140721

Clemson0140141428

Most likely final scoresVT 21–28 CLEM 0.7%VT 24–27 CLEM 0.5%VT 31–34 CLEM 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Virginia TechClemson

Offense

362▼ 234 Total yards ▼ 288371

227▼ 164 Passing yards ▼ 153237

135▼ 70 Rushing yards ▲ 135134

20▼ 19 First downs ▼ 1521

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▼ 13

2= 2 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 12

0▲ 2 Field goals made ▲ 32

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

59▼ 40 Penalty yards ▲ 6561

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 288.5 Proj. 362 72% Lost · 234

Passing yards Over 170.5 Proj. 227 72% Lost · 164

Rushing yards Over 82.5 Proj. 135 72% Lost · 70

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70% Won · 19

Total yards Over 298.5 Proj. 371 72% Lost · 288

Passing yards Over 179.5 Proj. 237 72% Lost · 153

Rushing yards Over 82.5 Proj. 134 72% Won · 135

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 71% Lost · 15

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Virginia Tech

QB Ethan Grunkemeyer20/31 · 227 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 227pass yds

RB Jeffrey Overton Jr.15 carries · 88 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 3 rec 88rush yds

WR/TE Que'Sean Brown5 rec · 65 yds · 0.3 TD 65rec yds

WR/TE Luke Reynolds5 rec · 52 yds · 0.5 TD 52rec yds

Clemson

QB Tait Reynolds18/27 · 199 pass yds · 0.5 TD · 0.3 INT 199pass yds

RB Gideon Davidson12 carries · 63 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 1 rec 63rush yds

WR/TE Bryant Wesco Jr.5 rec · 71 yds · 0.0 TD 71rec yds

WR/TE Tyler Brown4 rec · 41 yds · 0.0 TD 41rec yds

Road form. Virginia Tech is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 3.7 points a game.

Home form. Clemson is 3-1 at home, scoring 25.0 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at CLEM −2.5 and is now CLEM −3.5, a 1-point move toward Clemson.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

Virginia TechClemson

5-2Record4-2

2-1 roadRoad / home3-1 home

W1StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

37.1Points per game22.3

21.1Points allowed21.5

+112 Point differentialseason to date +5

302Passing yards / game188

150Rushing yards / game153

41%3rd-down conversion33%

6Takeaways7

0Sacks0

10Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Virginia Tech’s road games with Clemson’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.