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Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers prediction, picks and odds

Back to the NFL Week 10 picks NFL picks Week 10 Sunday, November 15 · 1:00 PM ET Lambeau Field, Green Bay
Vikings
Away · 6-2ML odds down +128
1:00PM Kickoff Sun, Nov 15 · ET
Packers
ML odds up −156Home · 6-3
SpreadGB −3.5
Total42 points
Kickoff in3d 21h

Lambeau Field

Predictions3 Comparison Recent games Standings Head-to-head Odds Injuries
Updated 3:03 PM ET

Vikings vs Packers picks

3 picks · Packers by 3 · 37 points
Moneyline
GB MLodds up −185 71%
The Packers win the game.
Confidence71%
Model60.6% SportsbooksOdds62.8% Edge−2.2
Spread
MIN +9.5−250 76%
The Vikings win, or lose by nine points or fewer.
Confidence76%
Model70.4% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge+2.1
TotalBest pick
Under 48.5odds up −250 77%
The two teams score 48 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model71.5% SportsbooksOdds68.8% Edge+2.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Vikings010701017
Packers010731020
Most likely final scoresMIN 17–20 GB 0.9%MIN 10–13 GB 0.8%MIN 20–23 GB 0.6%
Projected box score Model only Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
VikingsPackers

Offense

294 Total yards 324
189 Passing yards 216
105 Rushing yards 108
18 First downs 18

Scoring

2 Touchdowns 2
1 Passing touchdowns 1
1 Rushing touchdowns 1
1 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
3 Sacks allowed 3
50 Penalty yards 54
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 247.5 Proj. 294 72%
Passing yards Over 147.5 Proj. 189 72%
Rushing yards Over 76.5 Proj. 105 72%
First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 74%
Total yards Over 277.5 Proj. 324 72%
Passing yards Over 174.5 Proj. 216 72%
Rushing yards Over 79.5 Proj. 108 72%
First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 18 72%
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Vikings
QB Carson Wentz11/25 · 121 pass yds · 0.0 TD · 0.9 INT 121pass yds
RB Jordan Mason13 carries · 48 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec 48rush yds
WR/TE Justin Jefferson5 rec · 57 yds · 0.4 TD 57rec yds
WR/TE T.J. Hockenson5 rec · 48 yds · 0.4 TD 48rec yds
Packers
QB Jordan Love20/32 · 216 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 216pass yds
RB Josh Jacobs13 carries · 34 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 4 rec 34rush yds
WR/TE Christian Watson4 rec · 75 yds · 0.2 TD 75rec yds
WR/TE Matthew Golden5 rec · 67 yds · 0.3 TD 67rec yds

The Minnesota Vikings visit the Green Bay Packers in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET, at Lambeau Field, Green Bay. The Vikings come in at 6-2 and the Packers at 6-3. The moneyline has the Vikings at +128 and the Packers at −156.

Our model predicts a final score of Vikings 17, Packers 20. Its picks: the Packers to win (−185); the Vikings +9.5 (−250); under 48.5 points (−250). The best pick is under 48.5 points, at 77% confidence.