UTSA vs Tulane Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
UTSA	14	7	14	7	42
TULN	7	6	0	6	19

UTSA vs Tulane picks

3 picks · Tulane by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

TULN MLodds up +115 Lost 61%

Tulane wins the game.

Confidence61%

Model53.6% SportsbooksOdds44.9% Edge+8.7

SpreadBest pick

TULN +7.5odds up −238 Lost 78%

Tulane wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model74.4% SportsbooksOdds70.5% Edge+3.9

Total

Over 44.5−256 Won 74%

The two teams score 45 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.8% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge+2.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

UTSA77071421

Tulane770141428

Most likely final scoresUTSA 21–28 TULN 0.6%UTSA 24–27 TULN 0.6%UTSA 28–31 TULN 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line

UTSATulane

Offense

417▼ 396 Total yards ▼ 332382

233▼ 173 Passing yards ▲ 265198

184▲ 223 Rushing yards ▼ 67184

22▼ 21 First downs ▼ 1819

Scoring

3▲ 6 Touchdowns ▼ 23

1▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▼ 01

2▲ 6 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 12

0= 0 Field goals made = 22

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers ▲ 61

1▲ 2 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1= 1 Fumbles lost ▲ 41

0 Sacks allowed 0

58▼ 57 Penalty yards ▲ 6057

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 343.5 Proj. 417 72% Won · 396

Passing yards Over 175.5 Proj. 232 72% Lost · 173

Rushing yards Over 132.5 Proj. 184 72% Won · 223

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 69% Won · 21

Total yards Over 308.5 Proj. 382 72% Won · 332

Passing yards Over 141.5 Proj. 198 72% Won · 265

Rushing yards Over 131.5 Proj. 184 72% Lost · 67

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 19 74% Won · 18

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

UTSA

QB Owen McCown20/30 · 225 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT 225pass yds

RB Will Henderson III15 carries · 85 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec 85rush yds

WR/TE David Amador5 rec · 47 yds · 0.1 TD 47rec yds

WR/TE Mekhi Anderson3 rec · 45 yds · 0.4 TD 45rec yds

Tulane

QB Trace Johnson7/14 · 117 pass yds · 0.5 TD · 0.3 INT 117pass yds

RB Johnnie Daniels11 carries · 58 rush yds · 0.8 TD 58rush yds

WR/TE Destyn Hill4 rec · 62 yds · 0.5 TD 62rec yds

WR/TE Anthony Brown3 rec · 39 yds · 0.2 TD 39rec yds

Road form. UTSA is 2-1 on the road this season, losing by 5.7 points a game.

Home form. Tulane is 3-0 at home, scoring 27.7 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 50.5 and is now 52.5.

Rest. UTSA comes in on 7 days’ rest, Tulane on 8.

Streak. UTSA has won 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

UTSATulane

6-1Record3-3

2-1 roadRoad / home3-0 home

W4StreakW1

7 daysRest8 days

32.3Points per game20.5

27.0Points allowed21.7

+37 Point differentialseason to date −7

232Passing yards / game180

179Rushing yards / game152

37%3rd-down conversion37%

7Takeaways7

0Sacks0

3Turnovers5

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares UTSA’s road games with Tulane’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.