Utah vs Colorado Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
UTAH	7	6	7	7	27
COLO	0	0	17	7	24

Utah vs Colorado picks

3 picks · Utah by 28 · 56 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

UTAH ML−909 Won 95%

Utah wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model89.9% SportsbooksOdds88.2% Edge+1.7

SpreadBest pick

UTAH −7.5odds up −256 Lost 78%

Utah wins by eight points or more.

Confidence78%

Model76.5% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+7.3

Total

Over 42.5odds up −244 Won 74%

The two teams score 43 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model75.8% SportsbooksOdds68.9% Edge+6.9

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Utah14140142842

Colorado0707714

Most likely final scoresUTAH 42–14 COLO 0.7%UTAH 38–14 COLO 0.6%UTAH 42–7 COLO 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

UtahColorado

Offense

442▼ 409 Total yards ▲ 394352

225▲ 278 Passing yards ▲ 256228

217▼ 131 Rushing yards ▲ 138124

24▲ 26 First downs ▼ 1820

Scoring

5▼ 3 Touchdowns ▲ 32

3= 3 Passing touchdowns ▲ 21

2▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns = 11

2= 2 Field goals made ▲ 10

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers ▲ 21

1▲ 2 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

57▲ 61 Penalty yards ▲ 9363

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 368.5 Proj. 442 72% Won · 409

Passing yards Over 168.5 Proj. 225 72% Won · 278

Rushing yards Over 164.5 Proj. 217 72% Lost · 131

First downs Over 19.5 Proj. 24 74% Won · 26

Total yards Over 278.5 Proj. 352 72% Won · 394

Passing yards Over 171.5 Proj. 228 72% Won · 256

Rushing yards Over 71.5 Proj. 123 72% Won · 138

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 20 74% Won · 18

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Utah

QB Devon Dampier17/26 · 193 pass yds · 2.6 TD · 0.6 INT 193pass yds

RB Wayshawn Parker13 carries · 91 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec 91rush yds

WR/TE Braden Pegan4 rec · 57 yds · 0.9 TD 57rec yds

WR/TE Ricky Johnson2 rec · 35 yds · 0.2 TD 35rec yds

Colorado

QB Isaac Wilson10/21 · 104 pass yds · 0.3 TD · 0.7 INT 104pass yds

RB Jaquail Smith7 carries · 33 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 33rush yds

WR/TE Joseph Williams6 rec · 82 yds · 0.6 TD 82rec yds

WR/TE Quanell Farrakhan Jr.3 rec · 45 yds · 0.0 TD 45rec yds

Road form. Utah is 1-0 on the road this season, winning by 14.0 points a game.

Home form. Colorado is 1-1 at home, scoring 29.5 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at COLO +14.5 and is now COLO +15.5, a 1-point move toward Utah.

Rest. Utah comes in on 7 days’ rest, Colorado on 14.

Streak. Utah has won 5 in a row.

Tale of the tape

UtahColorado

5-0Record2-3

1-0 roadRoad / home1-1 home

W5StreakL3

7 daysRest14 days

42.8Points per game18.6

13.0Points allowed25.4

+149 Point differentialseason to date −34

264Passing yards / game253

238Rushing yards / game141

55%3rd-down conversion36%

7Takeaways5

0Sacks0

4Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Utah’s road games with Colorado’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.