Utah vs Cincinnati Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
UTAH	14	28	7	0	49
CIN	3	3	13	6	25

Utah vs Cincinnati picks

3 picks · Utah by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

UTAH MLodds down −303 Won 94%

Utah wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model72.2% SportsbooksOdds70.5% Edge+1.7

SpreadBest pick

UTAH +1.5odds down −294 Won 78%

Utah wins, or loses by one point or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model74.0% SportsbooksOdds70.4% Edge+3.6

Total

Under 64.5odds down −256 Lost 74%

The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model68.7% SportsbooksOdds68.0% Edge+0.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Utah0140141428

Cincinnati014071421

Most likely final scoresUTAH 28–21 CIN 0.7%UTAH 31–28 CIN 0.6%UTAH 24–21 CIN 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

UtahCincinnati

Offense

457▲ 534 Total yards ▲ 456385

249▲ 266 Passing yards ▲ 263219

208▲ 268 Rushing yards ▲ 193166

24▲ 27 First downs ▼ 1819

Scoring

4▲ 6 Touchdowns ▼ 23

2= 2 Passing touchdowns = 11

2▲ 3 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 12

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers ▲ 21

1= 1 Interceptions thrown = 11

1= 1 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

52▼ 25 Penalty yards ▼ 4258

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 383.5 Proj. 457 72% Won · 534

Passing yards Over 191.5 Proj. 249 72% Won · 266

Rushing yards Over 155.5 Proj. 208 72% Won · 268

First downs Over 20.5 Proj. 24 72% Won · 27

Total yards Over 311.5 Proj. 385 72% Won · 456

Passing yards Over 161.5 Proj. 218 72% Won · 263

Rushing yards Over 114.5 Proj. 166 72% Won · 193

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 72% Won · 18

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Utah

QB Devon Dampier20/30 · 234 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 234pass yds

RB Wayshawn Parker16 carries · 101 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec 101rush yds

WR/TE Braden Pegan5 rec · 61 yds · 0.8 TD 61rec yds

WR/TE Creed Whittemore3 rec · 45 yds · 0.0 TD 45rec yds

Cincinnati

QB JC French17/29 · 214 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 214pass yds

RB Cole Tabb9 carries · 70 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec 70rush yds

WR/TE JaVonnie Gibson4 rec · 55 yds · 0.3 TD 55rec yds

WR/TE Isaiah Johnson4 rec · 37 yds · 0.1 TD 37rec yds

Road form. Utah is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 8.5 points a game.

Home form. Cincinnati is 5-0 at home, scoring 39.8 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at CIN +6.5 and is now CIN +7.5, a 1-point move toward Utah.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Utah has won 7 in a row.

Tale of the tape

UtahCincinnati

7-0Record5-2

2-0 roadRoad / home5-0 home

W7StreakW1

7 daysRest7 days

37.4Points per game35.4

14.6Points allowed26.4

+160 Point differentialseason to date +63

257Passing yards / game221

221Rushing yards / game235

53%3rd-down conversion47%

10Takeaways10

0Sacks0

8Turnovers4

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Utah’s road games with Cincinnati’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.