Moneyline
UTAH MLodds down −149
67%
Utah wins the game.
Confidence67%
Model55.7%
SportsbooksOdds54.0%
Edge+1.7
Utah vs Arizona prediction, picks and odds
Updated 2:03 PM ET
Utah vs Arizona picks
3 picks · Utah by 3 · 45 pointsSpreadBest pick
UTAH +5.5odds down −263
77%
Utah wins, or loses by five points or fewer.
Confidence77%
Model69.9%
SportsbooksOdds68.7%
Edge+1.2
Total
Under 61.5−238
74%
The two teams score 61 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model69.7%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge+2.5
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Utah77371424
Arizona014071421
Most likely final scoresUTAH 24–21 ARIZ 0.7%UTAH 28–21 ARIZ 0.6%UTAH 21–14 ARIZ 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
UtahArizona
Offense
391
Total yards
413
216
Passing yards
287
175
Rushing yards
126
21
First downs
20
Scoring
3
Touchdowns
3
1
Passing touchdowns
2
2
Rushing touchdowns
1
1
Field goals made
0
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
0
Sacks allowed
0
51
Penalty yards
62
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 318.5
Proj. 391
72%
Passing yards
Over 159.5
Proj. 216
72%
Rushing yards
Over 122.5
Proj. 175
72%
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
73%
Total yards
Over 339.5
Proj. 413
72%
Passing yards
Over 229.5
Proj. 287
72%
Rushing yards
Over 73.5
Proj. 126
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
70%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Utah
QB
Devon Dampier19/30 · 208 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
208pass yds
RB
Wayshawn Parker15 carries · 86 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 3 rec
86rush yds
WR/TE
Braden Pegan5 rec · 54 yds · 0.4 TD
54rec yds
WR/TE
Creed Whittemore3 rec · 40 yds · 0.0 TD
40rec yds
Arizona
QB
Noah Fifita22/36 · 283 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.9 INT
283pass yds
RB
Kedrick Reescano10 carries · 38 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
38rush yds
WR/TE
Isaiah Mizell5 rec · 96 yds · 0.9 TD
96rec yds
WR/TE
Gio Richardson5 rec · 81 yds · 0.0 TD
81rec yds
Total move. The total opened at 52.5 and is now 54.5.
Rest. Utah comes in on 7 days’ rest, Arizona on 8.
Streak. Utah has won 9 in a row.
Tale of the tape
UtahArizona
UtahArizona
9-0Record7-2
W9StreakW1
7 daysRest8 days
37.7Points per game34.2
16.3Points allowed19.9
1st Big 12Conference3rd Big 12
+192
Point differentialseason to date
+129
253Passing yards / game321
215Rushing yards / game133
53%3rd-down conversion50%
16Takeaways9
0Sacks0
12Turnovers9
250Passing yards / game321
201Rushing yards / game160
47%3rd-down conversion57%
6Takeaways4
0Sacks0
4Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Utah’s road games with Arizona’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Utah
9-0
WWWWW
Wk 10Nov 7vs BYU
BYU20Utah28
BYU moneyline +150Utah moneyline −185
WFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ CIN
Utah49Cincinnati25
Utah moneyline −303Cincinnati moneyline +225
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs HOU
Houston13Utah21
Houston moneyline +190Utah moneyline −263
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ COLO
Utah27Colorado24
Utah moneyline −833Colorado moneyline +540
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs KU
Kansas24Utah41
Kansas moneyline +500Utah moneyline −769
WFINAL
Arizona
7-2
WWWLW
Wk 10Nov 6vs TCU
TCU28Arizona29
TCU moneyline +205Arizona moneyline −270
WFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ TTU
Arizona26Texas Tech34
Arizona moneyline +145Texas Tech moneyline −213
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs ISU
Iowa State3Arizona39
Iowa State moneyline +310Arizona moneyline −455
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ WVU
Arizona52West Virginia31
Arizona moneyline −172West Virginia moneyline +143
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs CIN
Cincinnati7Arizona34
Cincinnati moneyline +210Arizona moneyline −303
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this gameBig 12
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (UTAH)−154−154
Moneyline (ARIZ)+107+107
Spread (ARIZ)+2.5+2.5
Total52.5up 54.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Utah visits Arizona in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 7:30 PM ET. Utah comes in at 9-0 and Arizona at 7-2. The moneyline has Utah at −154 and Arizona at +107.
Our model predicts a final score of Utah 24, Arizona 21. Its picks: Utah to win (−149); Utah +5.5 (−263); under 61.5 points (−238). The best pick is Utah +5.5, at 77% confidence.