UAB vs Temple Prediction & Picks

UAB vs Temple picks

3 picks · Temple by 7 · 49 points

Moneyline

TEM MLodds down −135 79%

Temple wins the game.

Confidence79%

Model60.6% SportsbooksOdds54.4% Edge+6.2

SpreadBest pick

TEM +3.5odds up −213 77%

Temple wins, or loses by three points or fewer.

Confidence77%

Model70.1% SportsbooksOdds68.0% Edge+2.1

Total

Over 41.5−238 74%

The two teams score 42 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model71.5% SportsbooksOdds67.2% Edge+4.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

UAB77071421

Temple014771428

Most likely final scoresUAB 21–28 TEM 0.6%UAB 24–27 TEM 0.5%UAB 14–28 TEM 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

UABTemple

Offense

357 Total yards 333

187 Passing yards 166

170 Rushing yards 167

20 First downs 18

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 3

1 Passing touchdowns 2

2 Rushing touchdowns 1

0 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

46 Penalty yards 42

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 283.5 Proj. 357 72%

Passing yards Over 129.5 Proj. 187 72%

Rushing yards Over 117.5 Proj. 170 72%

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 71%

Total yards Over 260.5 Proj. 333 72%

Passing yards Over 109.5 Proj. 167 72%

Rushing yards Over 114.5 Proj. 167 72%

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 18 74%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

UAB

QB Ryder Burton15/25 · 183 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 183pass yds

RB Roderick Robinson II13 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 66rush yds

WR/TE C.J. Smith3 rec · 62 yds · 0.3 TD 62rec yds

WR/TE EJ Reid3 rec · 21 yds · 0.0 TD 21rec yds

Temple

QB Jaxon Smolik6/12 · 73 pass yds · 1.5 TD · 0.7 INT 73pass yds

RB Keveun Mason12 carries · 55 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec 55rush yds

WR/TE Colin Chase3 rec · 37 yds · 0.2 TD 37rec yds

WR/TE Jayce Freeman3 rec · 33 yds · 0.4 TD 33rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at TEM −3.5 and is now TEM −2.5, a 1-point move toward UAB.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Temple has lost 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

UABTemple

5-4Record2-7

W1StreakL4

7 daysRest7 days

21.8Points per game24.9

23.8Points allowed28.3

9th AmericanConference12th American

−18 Point differentialseason to date −31

166Passing yards / game176

152Rushing yards / game176

40%3rd-down conversion39%

10Takeaways9

0Sacks0

16Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares UAB’s road games with Temple’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.