Moneyline
TULN MLodds up +118
Lost 76%
Tulane wins the game.
Confidence76%
Model59.4%
SportsbooksOdds48.0%
Edge+11.4
Tulsa vs Tulane prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 7, 3:24 PM ET
Tulsa vs Tulane picks
3 picks · Tulane by 7 · 49 points · 0 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
TULN +7.5odds up −238
Lost 79%
Tulane wins, or loses by seven points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model79.1%
SportsbooksOdds68.3%
Edge+10.8
Total
Under 57.5−250
Lost 74%
The two teams score 57 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model68.7%
SportsbooksOdds68.0%
Edge+0.7
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Tulsa0777721
Tulane0140141428
Most likely final scoresTLSA 21–28 TULN 0.7%TLSA 21–24 TULN 0.6%TLSA 14–21 TULN 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TulsaTulane
Offense
369▲ 562
Total yards
▼ 201392
207▲ 338
Passing yards
▼ 112202
162▲ 224
Rushing yards
▼ 89190
20▲ 31
First downs
▼ 1519
Scoring
3▲ 8
Touchdowns
▼ 13
1▲ 4
Passing touchdowns
= 11
2▲ 4
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 02
0▲ 1
Field goals made
▼ 12
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
= 22
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
46▼ 10
Penalty yards
▼ 1753
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 295.5
Proj. 369
72%
Won · 562
Passing yards
Over 150.5
Proj. 207
72%
Won · 338
Rushing yards
Over 109.5
Proj. 162
72%
Won · 224
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
69%
Won · 31
Total yards
Over 318.5
Proj. 392
72%
Lost · 201
Passing yards
Over 144.5
Proj. 202
72%
Lost · 112
Rushing yards
Over 137.5
Proj. 190
72%
Lost · 89
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 19
73%
Lost · 15
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Tulsa
QB
Baylor Hayes19/31 · 205 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT
205pass yds
RB
Damari Alston14 carries · 56 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
56rush yds
WR/TE
Oran Singleton6 rec · 63 yds · 0.2 TD
63rec yds
WR/TE
Javon Ross3 rec · 41 yds · 0.2 TD
41rec yds
Tulane
QB
Trace Johnson14/22 · 170 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.6 INT
170pass yds
RB
Johnnie Daniels13 carries · 96 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 1 rec
96rush yds
WR/TE
Destyn Hill4 rec · 45 yds · 0.3 TD
45rec yds
WR/TE
Anthony Brown3 rec · 40 yds · 0.2 TD
40rec yds
Road form. Tulsa is 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 2.3 points a game.
Home form. Tulane is 3-1 at home, scoring 25.5 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at TULN +3.5 and is now TULN +2.5, a 1-point move toward Tulane.
Rest. Tulsa comes in on 15 days’ rest, Tulane on 8.
Tale of the tape
TulsaTulane
TulsaTulane
4-4Record4-4
2-2 roadRoad / home3-1 home
L1StreakW1
15 daysRest8 days
29.8Points per game22.5
24.4Points allowed25.4
+43
Point differentialseason to date
−23
212Passing yards / game203
158Rushing yards / game146
33%3rd-down conversion41%
15Takeaways10
0Sacks0
5Turnovers13
207Passing yards / game204
139Rushing yards / game178
38%3rd-down conversion38%
7Takeaways9
0Sacks0
2Turnovers9
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Tulsa’s road games with Tulane’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Tulsa
4-4
LLLWL
Wk 8Oct 23vs ARMY
Army38Tulsa35
Army moneyline −125Tulsa moneyline −106
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ RICE
Tulsa38Rice17
Tulsa moneyline −200Rice moneyline +160
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ NAVY
Tulsa26Navy34
Tulsa moneyline +117Navy moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 1vs UNT
North Texas45Tulsa44
North Texas moneyline −149Tulsa moneyline +117
LF/OT
Wk 4Sep 26@ ARK
Tulsa6Arkansas34
Tulsa moneyline +205Arkansas moneyline −294
LFINAL
Tulane
4-4
WLWLW
Wk 9Oct 30@ CLT
Tulane38Charlotte31
Tulane moneyline −370Charlotte moneyline +265
WF/OT
Wk 8Oct 24vs UTSA
UTSA42Tulane19
UTSA moneyline −143Tulane moneyline +116
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 16vs MEM
Memphis17Tulane31
Memphis moneyline −263Tulane moneyline +205
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ ARMY
Tulane17Army20
Tulane moneyline +148Army moneyline −182
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs USM
Southern Miss21Tulane24
Southern Miss moneyline +580Tulane moneyline −1429
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameAmerican
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
TULSA
0
Wins
Avg. points14.0 – 31.0
Avg. total45.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
TULANE
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 5Chapman Stadium
Tulsa14Tulane31
Tulsa moneyline −769Tulane moneyline +450
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TLSA)−147−147
Moneyline (TULN)+118down +117
Spread (TULN)+3.5down +2.5
Total48.5up 50.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Tulsa beat Tulane 60–10 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 12:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Tulsa at −147 and Tulane at +117.
Our model predicted a final score of Tulsa 21, Tulane 28. Its picks: Tulane to win (+118), lost; Tulane +7.5 (−238), lost; under 57.5 points (−250), lost. The best pick was Tulane +7.5, at 79% confidence.