The two teams score 39 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model71.6%SportsbooksOdds69.9%Edge+1.7
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
TLSATulsa714702128
RICERice0777721
Most likely final scoresTLSA 28–21 RICE 0.7%TLSA 28–14 RICE 0.6%TLSA 24–21 RICE 0.6%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TLSATulsaRiceRICE
Offense
370▲ 401Total yards▼ 351358
196▲ 249Passing yards▼ 62149
174▼ 152Rushing yards▲ 289209
19▲ 22First downs= 1919
Scoring
4▲ 5Touchdowns▼ 23
2▲ 3Passing touchdowns▼ 01
2= 2Rushing touchdowns= 22
Ball security
1▼ 0Turnovers= 11
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1▼ 0Fumbles lost= 11
0Sacks allowed0
44▲ 63Penalty yards▲ 7548
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
TLSATotal yardsOver 297.5Proj. 37172%Won · 401
TLSAPassing yardsOver 139.5Proj. 19772%Won · 249
TLSARushing yardsOver 121.5Proj. 17472%Won · 152
TLSAFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1972%Won · 22
RICETotal yardsOver 285.5Proj. 35872%Won · 351
RICEPassing yardsOver 91.5Proj. 14972%Lost · 62
RICERushing yardsOver 157.5Proj. 20972%Won · 289
RICEFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1972%Won · 19
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Tulsa is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 10.0 points a game.
Home form.Rice is 1-2 at home, scoring 22.0 points a game there.
Total move.The total opened at 45.5 and is now 46.5.
Rest.Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak.Tulsa has lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
TLSATulsaRICEJerry Rice Team
TLSATulsaRICEJerry Rice Team
3-3Record1-5
1-2 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L3StreakL5
7 daysRest7 days
27.5Points per game17.0
23.3Points allowed27.5
+25Point differentialseason to date−63
197Passing yards / game82
161Rushing yards / game232
28%3rd-down conversion29%
14Takeaways4
0Sacks0
4Turnovers9
193Passing yards / game79
135Rushing yards / game273
34%3rd-down conversion35%
6Takeaways4
0Sacks0
2Turnovers1
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Tulsa’s road games with Rice’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
TLSATulsa3-3WWLLL
Wk 6Oct 10@ NAVY
TLSATulsa26NAVYNavy34
Tulsa moneyline +117Navy moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 1vs UNT
UNTNorth Texas45TLSATulsa44
North Texas moneyline −149Tulsa moneyline +117
LF/OT
Wk 4Sep 26@ ARK
TLSATulsa6ARKArkansas34
Tulsa moneyline +205Arkansas moneyline −294
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs ETA
ETAEast Texas A&M0TLSATulsa42
East Texas A&M moneyline +1600Tulsa moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ SHSU
TLSATulsa23SHSUSam Houston17
Tulsa moneyline −556Sam Houston moneyline +370
WFINAL
RICERice1-5LLLLL
Wk 6Oct 10@ ECU
RICERice12ECUEast Carolina28
Rice moneyline +270East Carolina moneyline −357
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs UTSA
UTSAUTSA16RICERice14
UTSA moneyline −556Rice moneyline +350
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ FRES
RICERice24FRESFresno St38
Rice moneyline +400Fresno St moneyline −625
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs WMU
WMUW Michigan28RICERice21
W Michigan moneyline −400Rice moneyline +280
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ ND
RICERice0NDNotre Dame52
Rice moneyline +1000–Notre Dame: no odds on record
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this game
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Tulsa beat Jerry Rice Team 38–17 in college football Week 7, on Saturday, October 17 at 4:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Tulsa at −200 and Jerry Rice Team at +160.
Our model predicted a final score of Tulsa 28, Rice 21. Its picks: Tulsa to win (−213), won; Tulsa +3.5 (−303), won; over 38.5 points (−278), won. The best pick was Tulsa +3.5, at 78% confidence.