The two teams score 40 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model71.9%SportsbooksOdds68.1%Edge+3.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
TULNTulane714772135
CLTCharlotte000707
Most likely final scoresTULN 35–7 CLT 0.9%TULN 42–14 CLT 0.7%TULN 28–21 CLT 0.6%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TULNTulaneCharlotteCLT
Offense
420▲ 467Total yards▲ 455328
249▲ 284Passing yards▲ 239197
171▲ 183Rushing yards▲ 216131
20▲ 23First downs▲ 2617
Scoring
4= 4Touchdowns▲ 41
2▼ 1Passing touchdowns▲ 20
2▲ 3Rushing touchdowns▲ 21
2▼ 1Field goals made▲ 10
Ball security
1▲ 2Turnovers▼ 02
1= 1Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1= 1Fumbles lost▼ 01
0Sacks allowed0
53▲ 59Penalty yards▼ 2547
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
TULNTotal yardsOver 347.5Proj. 42072%Won · 467
TULNPassing yardsOver 192.5Proj. 25072%Won · 284
TULNRushing yardsOver 118.5Proj. 17172%Won · 183
TULNFirst downsOver 16.5Proj. 2173%Won · 23
CLTTotal yardsOver 254.5Proj. 32872%Won · 455
CLTPassing yardsOver 139.5Proj. 19772%Won · 239
CLTRushing yardsOver 78.5Proj. 13172%Won · 216
CLTFirst downsOver 13.5Proj. 1772%Won · 26
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Tulane is 0-3 on the road this season, losing by 9.3 points a game.
Home form.Charlotte is 0-3 at home, scoring 18.7 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at CLT +13.5 and is now CLT +8.5, a 5-point move toward Charlotte.
Rest.Tulane comes in on 6 days’ rest, Charlotte on 13.
Tale of the tape
TULNTulaneCLTCharlotte
TULNTulaneCLTCharlotte
3-4Record1-6
0-3 roadRoad / home0-3 home
L1StreakW1
6 daysRest13 days
20.3Points per game19.1
24.6Points allowed40.6
−30Point differentialseason to date−150
192Passing yards / game200
140Rushing yards / game111
38%3rd-down conversion31%
10Takeaways4
0Sacks0
11Turnovers16
176Passing yards / game170
90Rushing yards / game125
38%3rd-down conversion34%
1Takeaways1
0Sacks0
2Turnovers10
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Tulane’s road games with Charlotte’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
TULNTulane3-4LWLWL
Wk 8Oct 24vs UTSA
UTSAUTSA42TULNTulane19
UTSA moneyline −143Tulane moneyline +116
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 16vs MEM
MEMMemphis17TULNTulane31
Memphis moneyline −263Tulane moneyline +205
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ ARMY
TULNTulane17ARMYArmy20
Tulane moneyline +148Army moneyline −182
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs USM
USMSouthern Miss21TULNTulane24
Southern Miss moneyline +580Tulane moneyline −1429
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ KSU
TULNTulane20KSUKansas St31
Tulane moneyline +740Kansas St moneyline −2000
LFINAL
CLTCharlotte1-6LLLLW
Wk 7Oct 17@ TEM
CLTCharlotte38TEMTemple31
Charlotte moneyline +750Temple moneyline −1429
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ UNT
CLTCharlotte10UNTNorth Texas50
Charlotte moneyline +940North Texas moneyline −5000
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs MEM
MEMMemphis59CLTCharlotte8
Memphis moneyline −1667Charlotte moneyline +660
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs ULL
ULLLouisiana34CLTCharlotte7
Louisiana moneyline −417Charlotte moneyline +285
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ APP
CLTCharlotte21APPApp State26
Charlotte moneyline +580App State moneyline −1250
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 14Tulane home
CLTCharlotte0TULNTulane27
Charlotte moneyline +1400Tulane moneyline −10000
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TULN)−385▴up −370
Moneyline (CLT)+270▾down +265
Spread (CLT)+13.5▾down +8.5
Total46.5▴up 47.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Tulane beat Charlotte 38–31 in college football Week 9, on Friday, October 30 at 7:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Tulane at −370 and Charlotte at +265.
Our model predicted a final score of Tulane 35, Charlotte 7. Its picks: Tulane to win (−370), won; Tulane −3.5 (−200), won; over 39.5 points (−270), won. The best pick was Tulane to win, at 92% confidence.