Texas Tech vs Cincinnati Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
TTU	6	0	9	9	24
CIN	3	21	7	6	37

Texas Tech vs Cincinnati picks

3 picks · Texas Tech by 28 · 56 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

TTU MLodds down −476 Lost 95%

Texas Tech wins the game.

Confidence95%

Model78.4% SportsbooksOdds79.0% Edge−0.6

SpreadBest pick

TTU −3.5odds up −263 Lost 77%

Texas Tech wins by four points or more.

Confidence77%

Model69.9% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge+0.1

Total

Under 64.5odds up −227 Won 74%

The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.5% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge+1.9

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Texas Tech7142102142

Cincinnati0707714

Most likely final scoresTTU 42–14 CIN 0.7%TTU 28–21 CIN 0.7%TTU 35–7 CIN 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Texas TechCincinnati

Offense

440▼ 400 Total yards ▲ 427387

261▼ 227 Passing yards ▼ 172257

179▼ 173 Rushing yards ▲ 255130

23▼ 22 First downs ▲ 2119

Scoring

5▼ 2 Touchdowns ▲ 52

2▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▲ 41

3▼ 1 Rushing touchdowns = 11

2▲ 4 Field goals made ▲ 10

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers ▲ 21

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▲ 21

1▲ 2 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

49▲ 85 Penalty yards = 5555

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 367.5 Proj. 440 72% Won · 400

Passing yards Over 203.5 Proj. 261 72% Won · 227

Rushing yards Over 127.5 Proj. 179 72% Won · 173

First downs Over 19.5 Proj. 23 70% Won · 22

Total yards Over 313.5 Proj. 387 72% Won · 427

Passing yards Over 199.5 Proj. 257 72% Lost · 172

Rushing yards Over 77.5 Proj. 130 72% Won · 255

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 72% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Texas Tech

QB Will Hammond21/31 · 252 pass yds · 1.5 TD · 0.6 INT 252pass yds

RB J'Koby Williams12 carries · 83 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 4 rec 83rush yds

WR/TE Kenny Johnson4 rec · 79 yds · 0.3 TD 79rec yds

WR/TE Terrance Carter4 rec · 38 yds · 0.5 TD 38rec yds

Cincinnati

QB JC French21/33 · 250 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT 250pass yds

RB Gi'Bran Payne10 carries · 39 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 2 rec 39rush yds

WR/TE JaVonnie Gibson6 rec · 72 yds · 0.4 TD 72rec yds

WR/TE Isaiah Johnson5 rec · 42 yds · 0.1 TD 42rec yds

Road form. Texas Tech is 2-0 on the road this season, winning by 16.5 points a game.

Home form. Cincinnati is 4-0 at home, scoring 40.5 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 57.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Texas Tech has won 6 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Texas TechCincinnati

6-0Record4-2

2-0 roadRoad / home4-0 home

W6StreakL2

7 daysRest7 days

37.8Points per game35.2

17.7Points allowed26.8

+121 Point differentialseason to date +50

230Passing yards / game229

193Rushing yards / game231

42%3rd-down conversion49%

12Takeaways7

0Sacks0

9Turnovers2

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Texas Tech’s road games with Cincinnati’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.