MoneylineBest pick
NAVY MLodds down −323
Won 91%
Navy wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model66.8%
SportsbooksOdds73.9%
Edge−7.1
Temple vs Navy prediction, picks and odds
Updated Nov 7, 7:41 PM ET
Temple vs Navy picks
3 picks · Navy by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
TEM +15.5odds down −256
Won 80%
Temple wins, or loses by 15 points or fewer.
Confidence80%
Model69.9%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+1.8
Total
Under 61.5odds up −200
Lost 74%
The two teams score 61 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model72.8%
SportsbooksOdds68.7%
Edge+4.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Temple77701421
Navy714072128
Most likely final scoresTEM 21–28 NAVY 0.6%TEM 24–27 NAVY 0.5%TEM 28–31 NAVY 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
TempleNavy
Offense
348▼ 218
Total yards
▲ 495413
205▼ 173
Passing yards
▲ 178161
143▼ 45
Rushing yards
▲ 317252
18▼ 9
First downs
▲ 2322
Scoring
3▲ 5
Touchdowns
▲ 64
2▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
= 11
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 53
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▲ 21
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
= 11
1= 1
Fumbles lost
= 11
0
Sacks allowed
0
45▼ 9
Penalty yards
▲ 5546
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 275.5
Proj. 348
72%
Lost · 218
Passing yards
Over 147.5
Proj. 205
72%
Won · 173
Rushing yards
Over 90.5
Proj. 143
72%
Lost · 45
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 18
70%
Lost · 9
Total yards
Over 340.5
Proj. 413
72%
Won · 495
Passing yards
Over 103.5
Proj. 161
72%
Won · 178
Rushing yards
Over 200.5
Proj. 252
72%
Won · 317
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
70%
Won · 23
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Temple
QB
Ajani Sheppard15/23 · 196 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.7 INT
196pass yds
RB
Keveun Mason11 carries · 42 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 2 rec
42rush yds
WR/TE
Peter Clarke3 rec · 65 yds · 1.0 TD
65rec yds
WR/TE
Colin Chase3 rec · 51 yds · 0.4 TD
51rec yds
Navy
QB
Jackson Gutierrez10/16 · 142 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT
142pass yds
RB
Michael Barrow12 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 3 rec
66rush yds
WR/TE
Jordan Collins3 rec · 52 yds · 0.5 TD
52rec yds
WR/TE
Charles Robinson3 rec · 16 yds · 0.0 TD
16rec yds
Road form. Temple is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 1.7 points a game.
Home form. Navy is 2-2 at home, scoring 32.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at NAVY −6.5 and is now NAVY −7.5, a 1-point move toward Navy.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. Temple has lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
TempleNavy
TempleNavy
2-6Record2-6
1-2 roadRoad / home2-2 home
L3StreakL3
7 daysRest7 days
23.6Points per game27.6
26.6Points allowed29.9
−24
Point differentialseason to date
−18
177Passing yards / game112
192Rushing yards / game296
40%3rd-down conversion42%
7Takeaways4
0Sacks0
9Turnovers10
128Passing yards / game79
188Rushing yards / game367
44%3rd-down conversion51%
3Takeaways1
0Sacks0
5Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Temple’s road games with Navy’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Temple
2-6
LWLLL
Wk 9Oct 31@ ECU
Temple9East Carolina17
Temple moneyline +151East Carolina moneyline −204
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs CLT
Charlotte38Temple31
Charlotte moneyline +750Temple moneyline −1429
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CONN
UConn34Temple20
UConn moneyline +138Temple moneyline −196
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ USF
Temple17South Florida13
Temple moneyline +175South Florida moneyline −238
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 25vs ARMY
Army21Temple17
Army moneyline −204Temple moneyline +152
LFINAL
Navy
2-6
LWLLL
Wk 9Oct 31vs ND
Notre Dame35Navy13
Notre Dame moneyline −10000Navy moneyline +1900
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs UNT
North Texas49Navy39
North Texas moneyline −161Navy moneyline +120
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ UTSA
Navy34UTSA38
Navy moneyline +185UTSA moneyline −233
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs TLSA
Tulsa26Navy34
Tulsa moneyline +117Navy moneyline −159
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ AF
Navy9Air Force14
Navy moneyline +118Air Force moneyline −161
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameAmerican
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
TEMPLE
0
Wins
Avg. points31.0 – 32.0
Avg. total63.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
NAVY
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 7Lincoln Financial Field
Temple31Navy32
Temple moneyline −370Navy moneyline +265
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (TEM)+245+245
Moneyline (NAVY)−333−333
Spread (NAVY)−6.5down −7.5
Total53.5up 55.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Navy beat Temple 42–35 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Temple at +245 and Navy at −333.
Our model predicted a final score of Temple 21, Navy 28. Its picks: Navy to win (−323), won; Temple +15.5 (−256), won; under 61.5 points (−200), lost. The best pick was Navy to win, at 91% confidence.