Temple vs East Carolina Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
TEM	0	3	3	3	9
ECU	7	3	7	0	17

Temple vs East Carolina picks

3 picks · East Carolina by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

ECU MLodds up −204 Won 86%

East Carolina wins the game.

Confidence86%

Model64.0% SportsbooksOdds68.9% Edge−4.9

Spread

TEM +11.5odds down −286 Won 77%

Temple wins, or loses by 11 points or fewer.

Confidence77%

Model65.7% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge−2.4

TotalBest pick

Over 42.5odds down −313 Lost 78%

The two teams score 43 or more points between them.

Confidence78%

Model70.5% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+1.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Temple7077721

East Carolina77771428

Most likely final scoresTEM 21–28 ECU 0.6%TEM 24–27 ECU 0.6%TEM 21–24 ECU 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

TempleEast Carolina

Offense

356▼ 249 Total yards ▼ 352399

202▼ 128 Passing yards ▼ 130220

154▼ 121 Rushing yards ▲ 222179

18▼ 15 First downs ▲ 2221

Scoring

3▼ 0 Touchdowns ▼ 24

2▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▼ 02

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns = 22

Ball security

1▲ 3 Turnovers = 11

1▲ 3 Interceptions thrown = 11

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

52▼ 25 Penalty yards ▼ 2649

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 283.5 Proj. 356 72% Lost · 249

Passing yards Over 144.5 Proj. 202 72% Lost · 128

Rushing yards Over 102.5 Proj. 154 72% Won · 121

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 73% Won · 15

Total yards Over 325.5 Proj. 399 72% Won · 352

Passing yards Over 162.5 Proj. 220 72% Lost · 130

Rushing yards Over 126.5 Proj. 179 72% Won · 222

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 70% Won · 22

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Temple

QB Ajani Sheppard14/23 · 184 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.0 INT 184pass yds

RB Keveun Mason13 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.1 TD · 2 rec 46rush yds

WR/TE Peter Clarke5 rec · 74 yds · 1.0 TD 74rec yds

WR/TE Colin Chase4 rec · 52 yds · 0.4 TD 52rec yds

East Carolina

QB Mitch Griffis8/14 · 99 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.5 INT 99pass yds

RB TJ Engleman15 carries · 96 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 2 rec 96rush yds

WR/TE Ray Ray Joseph4 rec · 48 yds · 0.5 TD 48rec yds

WR/TE Landon Sides3 rec · 44 yds · 0.3 TD 44rec yds

Road form. Temple is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 1.5 points a game.

Home form. East Carolina is 2-1 at home, scoring 31.3 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at ECU −4.5 and is now ECU −3.5, a 1-point move toward Temple.

Rest. Temple comes in on 14 days’ rest, East Carolina on 9.

Tale of the tape

TempleEast Carolina

2-5Record3-4

1-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home

L2StreakL2

14 daysRest9 days

25.7Points per game25.0

28.0Points allowed26.3

−16 Point differentialseason to date −9

184Passing yards / game195

202Rushing yards / game156

42%3rd-down conversion31%

6Takeaways9

0Sacks0

6Turnovers13

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Temple’s road games with East Carolina’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.