Syracuse vs NC State Prediction & Picks

Syracuse vs NC State picks

3 picks · NC State by 7 · 49 points

Moneyline

NCST ML+115 73%

NC State wins the game.

Confidence73%

Model58.3% SportsbooksOdds43.7% Edge+14.6

Spread

NCST +8.5−250 86%

NC State wins, or loses by eight points or fewer.

Confidence86%

Model79.8% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge+11.5

TotalBest pick

Over 47.5odds up −217 76%

The two teams score 48 or more points between them.

Confidence76%

Model66.1% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge−2.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Syracuse77701421

NC State77771428

Most likely final scoresSYR 21–28 NCST 0.6%SYR 24–27 NCST 0.5%SYR 24–31 NCST 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

SyracuseNC State

Offense

391 Total yards 378

246 Passing yards 244

145 Rushing yards 134

22 First downs 20

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 3

2 Passing touchdowns 1

1 Rushing touchdowns 2

0 Field goals made 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

61 Penalty yards 55

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 318.5 Proj. 391 72%

Passing yards Over 189.5 Proj. 246 72%

Rushing yards Over 92.5 Proj. 145 72%

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 69%

Total yards Over 305.5 Proj. 378 72%

Passing yards Over 187.5 Proj. 244 72%

Rushing yards Over 81.5 Proj. 134 72%

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 72%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Syracuse

QB Steve Angeli22/37 · 246 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 246pass yds

RB Ahmad Miller14 carries · 70 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec 70rush yds

WR/TE Umari Hatcher8 rec · 101 yds · 0.9 TD 101rec yds

WR/TE Calvin Russell III5 rec · 48 yds · 0.4 TD 48rec yds

NC State

QB CJ Bailey19/30 · 234 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.6 INT 234pass yds

RB Davion Gause13 carries · 65 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 3 rec 65rush yds

WR/TE Victor Snow3 rec · 29 yds · 0.0 TD 29rec yds

WR/TE Hunter Provience2 rec · 20 yds · 0.1 TD 20rec yds

Total move. The total opened at 55.5 and is now 53.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

SyracuseNC State

4-5Record4-5

L1StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

29.3Points per game28.9

25.4Points allowed27.6

10th ACCConference13th ACC

+35 Point differentialseason to date +12

273Passing yards / game242

157Rushing yards / game145

40%3rd-down conversion48%

12Takeaways9

0Sacks0

12Turnovers10

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Syracuse’s road games with NC State’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.