Moneyline
CIN MLodds up −189
74%
The Bengals win the game.
Confidence74%
Model61.8%
SportsbooksOdds63.8%
Edge−2.0
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals prediction, picks and odds
Updated 2:47 PM ET
Steelers vs Bengals picks
3 picks · Bengals by 3 · 51 pointsSpread
PIT +7.5odds up −213
73%
The Steelers win, or lose by seven points or fewer.
Confidence73%
Model65.6%
SportsbooksOdds67.1%
Edge−1.5
TotalBest pick
Under 54.5odds up −213
77%
The two teams score 54 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model69.8%
SportsbooksOdds67.8%
Edge+2.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Steelers77371424
Bengals0170101727
Most likely final scoresPIT 24–27 CIN 0.8%PIT 20–23 CIN 0.7%PIT 17–20 CIN 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
SteelersBengals
Offense
339
Total yards
357
209
Passing yards
267
130
Rushing yards
90
19
First downs
21
Scoring
3
Touchdowns
3
2
Passing touchdowns
2
1
Rushing touchdowns
1
1
Field goals made
2
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
3
Sacks allowed
3
54
Penalty yards
53
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 292.5
Proj. 339
72%
Passing yards
Over 167.5
Proj. 209
72%
Rushing yards
Over 101.5
Proj. 130
72%
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
73%
Total yards
Over 310.5
Proj. 357
72%
Passing yards
Over 226.5
Proj. 268
72%
Rushing yards
Over 61.5
Proj. 90
72%
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 21
71%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Steelers
QB
Aaron Rodgers21/34 · 209 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT
209pass yds
RB
Jaylen Warren17 carries · 101 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
101rush yds
WR/TE
DK Metcalf4 rec · 49 yds · 0.2 TD
49rec yds
WR/TE
Germie Bernard5 rec · 39 yds · 0.2 TD
39rec yds
Bengals
QB
Joe Burrow27/37 · 267 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.8 INT
267pass yds
RB
Chase Brown13 carries · 47 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 5 rec
47rush yds
WR/TE
Tee Higgins6 rec · 87 yds · 0.6 TD
87rec yds
WR/TE
Ja'Marr Chase7 rec · 81 yds · 0.5 TD
81rec yds
Road form. The Steelers are 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 1.8 points a game.
Home form. The Bengals are 2-1 at home, scoring 31.0 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 47.5 and is now 49.5.
Rest. The Steelers come in on 14 days’ rest, the Bengals on 7.
Division game. Two AFC North rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Pittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Bengals
Pittsburgh SteelersCincinnati Bengals
6-2Record6-2
2-2 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W4StreakW4
14 daysRest7 days
22.5Points per game30.0
18.0Points allowed21.9
1st AFC NorthDivision2nd AFC North
+36
Point differentialseason to date
+65
5.2Yards per play6.1
211Passing yards / game286
118Rushing yards / game86
38%3rd-down conversion54%
50%Red-zone touchdowns69%
13Takeaways12
26Sacks23
8Turnovers10
4.6Yards per play6.4
205Passing yards / game365
105Rushing yards / game68
38%3rd-down conversion56%
42%Red-zone touchdowns60%
7Takeaways6
12Sacks10
5Turnovers7
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Steelers’ road games with the Bengals’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Steelers
6-2
LWWWW
Wk 8Nov 1vs CLE
Browns6Steelers27
Browns moneyline +165Steelers moneyline −200
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 25@ NO
Steelers16Saints10
Steelers moneyline −161Saints moneyline +137
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ TB
Steelers26Buccaneers19
Steelers moneyline −135Buccaneers moneyline +116
WF/OT
Wk 5Oct 11vs IND
Colts22Steelers34
Colts moneyline +131Steelers moneyline −161
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 1@ CLE
Steelers24Browns27
Steelers moneyline −154Browns moneyline +125
LFINAL
Bengals
6-2
LWWWW
Wk 9Nov 8@ ATL
Bengals34Falcons17
Bengals moneyline −182Falcons moneyline +151
WFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1vs TEN
Titans36Bengals43
Titans moneyline +650Bengals moneyline −1000
WF/OT
Wk 7Oct 25@ BAL
Bengals35Ravens13
Bengals moneyline −154Ravens moneyline +130
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11@ MIA
Bengals31Dolphins24
Bengals moneyline −370Dolphins moneyline +267
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs JAX
Jaguars22Bengals17
Jaguars moneyline +116Bengals moneyline −149
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this gameHead-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
STEELERS
3
Wins
Avg. points31.2 – 25.8
Avg. total57.0 pts
Over closing total3 of 5
2
BENGALS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2026 · Wk 3Acrisure Stadium
Bengals27Steelers30
Bengals moneyline −182Steelers moneyline +150
2025 · Wk 11Acrisure Stadium
Bengals12Steelers34
Bengals moneyline +200Steelers moneyline −256
2025 · Wk 7Paycor Stadium
Steelers31Bengals33
Steelers moneyline −256Bengals moneyline +205
2024 · Wk 18Acrisure Stadium
Bengals19Steelers17
Bengals moneyline −141Steelers moneyline +115
2024 · Wk 13Paycor Stadium
Steelers44Bengals38
Steelers moneyline +135Bengals moneyline −167
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (PIT)+155+155
Moneyline (CIN)−192−192
Spread (CIN)−3.5−3.5
Total47.5up 49.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable firstSteelers
QUESTIONABLE
Ben SkowronekWR
Calf
QUESTIONABLE
Brandin EcholsCB
Hamstring
QUESTIONABLE
Doneiko SlaughterCB
Hamstring
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 9
IRGennings DunkerKnee
IRJack DriscollUndisclosed
IRSebastian Joseph-DayDTTriceps
IRRoman WilsonWRFinger
IRDerrick HarmonDTFoot
IRCole BurgessUndisclosed
IRDaequan HardyUndisclosed
IRLogan LeeUndisclosed
PUPDonte KentUndisclosed
Bengals
INACTIVE
Connor Lew
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Kyle DuggerS
Inactive for Week 9 at Atlanta
INACTIVE
Landon RobinsonDT
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Myles Hinton
Coach's Decision
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 6
IRAndrei IosivasWRThumb
IRBrian Parker IIOTUndisclosed
IRJalen DavisCBHamstring
IRCashius HowellDEWrist
IRTanner HudsonTEPectoral
IRSwayze BozemanLBForearm
The Pittsburgh Steelers visit the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season (Sunday Night Football on NBC), on Sunday, November 15 at 8:20 PM ET, at Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati. The Steelers come in at 6-2 and the Bengals at 6-2. The moneyline has the Steelers at +155 and the Bengals at −192.
Our model predicts a final score of Steelers 24, Bengals 27. Its picks: the Bengals to win (−189); the Steelers +7.5 (−213); under 54.5 points (−213). The best pick is under 54.5 points, at 77% confidence.