Stanford vs Virginia Tech Prediction & Picks

Stanford vs Virginia Tech picks

3 picks · Virginia Tech by 7 · 49 points

MoneylineBest pick

VT MLodds down −833 92%

Virginia Tech wins the game.

Confidence92%

Model79.5% SportsbooksOdds86.7% Edge−7.2

Spread

STAN +23.5−250 80%

Stanford wins, or loses by 23 points or fewer.

Confidence80%

Model71.1% SportsbooksOdds68.0% Edge+3.1

Total

Under 66.5odds down −263 74%

The two teams score 66 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model76.3% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+8.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Stanford014701421

Virginia Tech77771428

Most likely final scoresSTAN 21–28 VT 0.6%STAN 24–31 VT 0.6%STAN 28–31 VT 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

StanfordVirginia Tech

Offense

349 Total yards 423

240 Passing yards 253

109 Rushing yards 170

18 First downs 22

Scoring

3 Touchdowns 4

2 Passing touchdowns 2

1 Rushing touchdowns 2

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

57 Penalty yards 54

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 275.5 Proj. 349 72%

Passing yards Over 182.5 Proj. 240 72%

Rushing yards Over 56.5 Proj. 109 72%

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 72%

Total yards Over 350.5 Proj. 423 72%

Passing yards Over 196.5 Proj. 253 72%

Rushing yards Over 117.5 Proj. 170 72%

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 71%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Stanford

QB Davis Warren21/33 · 236 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.5 INT 236pass yds

RB Micah Ford18 carries · 89 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec 89rush yds

WR/TE Nico Brown5 rec · 52 yds · 0.7 TD 52rec yds

WR/TE Caden High4 rec · 48 yds · 0.5 TD 48rec yds

Virginia Tech

QB Ethan Grunkemeyer22/33 · 252 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT 252pass yds

RB Jeffrey Overton Jr.15 carries · 126 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 3 rec 126rush yds

WR/TE Que'Sean Brown7 rec · 88 yds · 0.5 TD 88rec yds

WR/TE Luke Reynolds5 rec · 47 yds · 0.4 TD 47rec yds

Total move. The total opened at 57.5 and is now 58.5.

Rest. Stanford comes in on 14 days’ rest, Virginia Tech on 8.

Tale of the tape

StanfordVirginia Tech

4-5Record6-3

L1StreakL1

14 daysRest8 days

20.3Points per game34.2

37.3Points allowed23.9

15th ACCConference7th ACC

−153 Point differentialseason to date +93

250Passing yards / game285

110Rushing yards / game138

31%3rd-down conversion42%

8Takeaways7

0Sacks0

8Turnovers12

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Stanford’s road games with Virginia Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.