Moneyline
NYG MLodds up −109
Lost 62%
The Giants win the game.
Confidence62%
Model55.9%
SportsbooksOdds50.1%
Edge+5.8
New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 18, 4:38 PM ET
Saints vs Giants picks
3 picks · Giants by 3 · 37 points · 0 of 3 wonSpread
NYG +5.5odds up −244
Lost 79%
The Giants win, or lose by five points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model73.5%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+5.4
TotalBest pick
Under 52odds up −263
Lost 77%
The two teams score 51 or fewer points between them (exactly 52 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model69.4%
SportsbooksOdds70.7%
Edge−1.3
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Saints014031417
Giants37371020
Most likely final scoresNO 17–20 NYG 0.8%NO 24–27 NYG 0.8%NO 20–23 NYG 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
SaintsGiants
Offense
318▲ 319
Total yards
▲ 461323
210▼ 144
Passing yards
▲ 377198
108▲ 175
Rushing yards
▼ 84125
19▼ 18
First downs
▲ 2320
Scoring
2▲ 4
Touchdowns
▲ 32
1▲ 3
Passing touchdowns
▲ 21
1= 1
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1▲ 2
Field goals made
= 22
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▲ 41
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 31
1= 1
Fumbles lost
= 11
2▼ 0
Sacks allowed
▲ 53
52= 52
Penalty yards
▲ 7351
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 271.5
Proj. 318
72%
Won · 319
Passing yards
Over 168.5
Proj. 210
72%
Lost · 144
Rushing yards
Over 79.5
Proj. 108
72%
Won · 175
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
73%
Won · 18
Total yards
Over 276.5
Proj. 323
72%
Won · 461
Passing yards
Over 156.5
Proj. 198
72%
Won · 377
Rushing yards
Over 96.5
Proj. 125
72%
Lost · 84
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 20
70%
Won · 23
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Saints
QB
Tyler Shough23/34 · 210 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT
210pass yds
RB
Kendre Miller8 carries · 26 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 2 rec
26rush yds
WR/TE
Chris Olave6 rec · 94 yds · 0.1 TD
94rec yds
WR/TE
Juwan Johnson4 rec · 43 yds · 0.3 TD
43rec yds
Giants
QB
Jameis Winston19/30 · 198 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT
198pass yds
RB
Cameron Skattebo16 carries · 67 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 3 rec
67rush yds
WR/TE
Malik Nabers6 rec · 65 yds · 0.2 TD
65rec yds
WR/TE
Isaiah Likely7 rec · 56 yds · 0.4 TD
56rec yds
Road form. The Saints are 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 3.0 points a game.
Home form. The Giants are 3-0 at home, scoring 25.3 points a game there.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Streak. The Saints have lost 3 in a row.
The series. The Saints have won 3 of the last 3 meetings.
Tale of the tape
New Orleans SaintsNew York Giants
New Orleans SaintsNew York Giants
1-4Record3-1-1
1-1 roadRoad / home3-0 home
L3StreakT1
7 daysRest7 days
23.6Points per game21.8
30.2Points allowed21.2
−33
Point differentialseason to date
+3
4.8Yards per play4.7
240Passing yards / game199
82Rushing yards / game109
46%3rd-down conversion44%
81%Red-zone touchdowns64%
5Takeaways8
10Sacks8
11Turnovers7
5.1Yards per play5.1
306Passing yards / game187
78Rushing yards / game130
50%3rd-down conversion51%
71%Red-zone touchdowns67%
2Takeaways6
4Sacks2
3Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Saints’ road games with the Giants’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Saints
1-4
LWLLL
Wk 5Oct 11vs MIN
Vikings23Saints13
Vikings moneyline −141Saints moneyline +115
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 5vs ATL
Falcons45Saints24
Falcons moneyline −102Saints moneyline −120
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs LV
Raiders35Saints27
Raiders moneyline +150Saints moneyline −200
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ BAL
Saints24Ravens17
Saints moneyline +315Ravens moneyline −435
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13@ DET
Saints30Lions31
Saints moneyline +255Lions moneyline −323
LF/OT
Giants
3-1-1
WLWWT
Wk 5Oct 11@ WAS
Giants27Commanders27
Giants moneyline +146Commanders moneyline −182
TF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs ARI
Cardinals24Giants36
Cardinals moneyline −139Giants moneyline +110
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs TEN
Titans7Giants12
Titans moneyline +112Giants moneyline −141
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 21@ LAR
Giants6Rams28
Giants moneyline +235Rams moneyline −313
LFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13vs DAL
Cowboys20Giants28
Cowboys moneyline −167Giants moneyline +135
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this gameNFC South
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
NFC East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
Last three meetings · regular season and playoffs
SAINTS
3
Wins
Avg. points21.3 – 10.3
Avg. total31.7 pts
Over closing total0 of 3
0
GIANTS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 5Caesars Superdome
Giants14Saints26
Giants moneyline +107Saints moneyline −133
2024 · Wk 14MetLife Stadium
Saints14Giants11
Saints moneyline −250Giants moneyline +200
2023 · Wk 15Caesars Superdome
Giants6Saints24
Giants moneyline +200Saints moneyline −256
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (NO)−111−111
Moneyline (NYG)−109−109
Spread (NYG)+1.5+1.5
Total45.545.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The New Orleans Saints beat the New York Giants 34–27 in NFL Week 6 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. The moneyline had the Saints at −111 and the Giants at −109.
Our model predicted a final score of Saints 17, Giants 20. Its picks: the Giants to win (−109), lost; the Giants +5.5 (−244), lost; under 52 points (−263), lost. The best pick was under 52 points, at 77% confidence.