Rutgers vs Wisconsin Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
RUTG	3	7	0	0	10
WIS	7	6	11	7	31

Rutgers vs Wisconsin picks

3 picks · Wisconsin by 24 · 52 points · 3 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

WIS MLodds down −1429 Won 92%

Wisconsin wins the game.

Confidence92%

Model81.2% SportsbooksOdds88.3% Edge−7.1

Spread

RUTG +24.5odds up −200 Won 81%

Rutgers wins, or loses by 24 points or fewer.

Confidence81%

Model72.9% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge+4.8

Total

Over 39.5odds up −233 Won 74%

The two teams score 40 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model71.0% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge+2.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Rutgers0770714

Wisconsin7101471738

Most likely final scoresRUTG 14–38 WIS 0.5%RUTG 21–28 WIS 0.5%RUTG 14–28 WIS 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

RutgersWisconsin

Offense

309▼ 255 Total yards ▼ 363382

195▼ 161 Passing yards ▲ 241200

114▼ 94 Rushing yards ▼ 122182

18▼ 15 First downs ▲ 2119

Scoring

2▼ 1 Touchdowns ▼ 35

1= 1 Passing touchdowns ▲ 32

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 03

0▲ 1 Field goals made ▲ 31

Ball security

1▼ 0 Turnovers = 11

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

40▲ 66 Penalty yards ▼ 3556

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 235.5 Proj. 309 72% Won · 255

Passing yards Over 138.5 Proj. 195 72% Won · 161

Rushing yards Over 61.5 Proj. 114 72% Won · 94

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 18 70% Won · 15

Total yards Over 309.5 Proj. 382 72% Won · 363

Passing yards Over 142.5 Proj. 200 72% Won · 241

Rushing yards Over 130.5 Proj. 182 72% Lost · 122

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 71% Won · 21

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Rutgers

QB AJ Surace8/16 · 101 pass yds · 0.6 TD · 0.4 INT 101pass yds

RB Antwan Raymond15 carries · 62 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec 62rush yds

WR/TE KJ Duff6 rec · 75 yds · 0.4 TD 75rec yds

WR/TE Dyzier Carter3 rec · 34 yds · 0.0 TD 34rec yds

Wisconsin

QB Colton Joseph14/23 · 182 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.6 INT 182pass yds

RB Abu Sama III9 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec 64rush yds

WR/TE Jaylon Domingeaux5 rec · 77 yds · 0.0 TD 77rec yds

WR/TE Tyrell Henry4 rec · 50 yds · 0.2 TD 50rec yds

Road form. Rutgers is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 9.3 points a game.

Home form. Wisconsin is 4-0 at home, scoring 36.3 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at WIS −16.5 and is now WIS −19.5, a 3-point move toward Wisconsin.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

RutgersWisconsin

2-6Record5-3

1-2 roadRoad / home4-0 home

L2StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

27.8Points per game23.6

32.6Points allowed17.1

−39 Point differentialseason to date +52

227Passing yards / game180

150Rushing yards / game138

40%3rd-down conversion42%

7Takeaways9

0Sacks0

14Turnovers9

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Rutgers’ road games with Wisconsin’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.