Rutgers vs Maryland Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
RUTG	7	6	17	7	37
MD	7	16	0	7	30

Rutgers vs Maryland picks

3 picks · Maryland by 7 · 63 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

MD MLodds up −233 Lost 79%

Maryland wins the game.

Confidence79%

Model60.6% SportsbooksOdds69.1% Edge−8.5

Spread

RUTG +12.5−263 Won 80%

Rutgers wins, or loses by 12 points or fewer.

Confidence80%

Model69.8% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+0.6

TotalBest pick

Under 65.5odds down −286 Lost 79%

The two teams score 65 or fewer points between them.

Confidence79%

Model72.2% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+2.3

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Rutgers77771428

Maryland777141435

Most likely final scoresRUTG 28–35 MD 0.6%RUTG 21–28 MD 0.5%RUTG 24–27 MD 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line

RutgersMaryland

Offense

361▲ 442 Total yards ▼ 378397

220▲ 291 Passing yards ▲ 263226

141▲ 151 Rushing yards ▼ 115171

20▲ 28 First downs ▼ 1920

Scoring

4▲ 5 Touchdowns = 44

2▲ 3 Passing touchdowns = 22

2= 2 Rushing touchdowns = 22

0▲ 1 Field goals made ▼ 02

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers ▼ 01

1= 1 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

1▼ 0 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

48▼ 39 Penalty yards ▼ 3957

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 287.5 Proj. 361 72% Won · 442

Passing yards Over 162.5 Proj. 220 72% Won · 291

Rushing yards Over 88.5 Proj. 141 72% Won · 151

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 20 74% Won · 28

Total yards Over 323.5 Proj. 397 72% Won · 378

Passing yards Over 169.5 Proj. 226 72% Won · 263

Rushing yards Over 118.5 Proj. 171 72% Lost · 115

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70% Won · 19

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Rutgers

QB AJ Surace8/14 · 103 pass yds · 1.2 TD · 0.5 INT 103pass yds

RB Antwan Raymond18 carries · 98 rush yds · 1.1 TD · 2 rec 98rush yds

WR/TE KJ Duff6 rec · 106 yds · 1.1 TD 106rec yds

WR/TE Jourdin Houston3 rec · 28 yds · 0.0 TD 28rec yds

Maryland

QB Malik Washington19/31 · 211 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.8 INT 211pass yds

RB DeJuan Williams10 carries · 70 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec 70rush yds

WR/TE Chris Durr Jr.6 rec · 74 yds · 1.0 TD 74rec yds

WR/TE Dorian Fleming3 rec · 27 yds · 0.3 TD 27rec yds

Road form. Rutgers is 0-1 on the road this season, losing by 7.0 points a game.

Home form. Maryland is 1-2 at home, scoring 30.3 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at MD −4.5 and is now MD −5.5, a 1-point move toward Maryland.

Rest. Rutgers comes in on 14 days’ rest, Maryland on 7.

Streak. Maryland has lost 4 in a row.

Tale of the tape

RutgersMaryland

1-4Record2-4

0-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home

L1StreakL4

14 daysRest7 days

30.0Points per game28.0

32.2Points allowed32.7

−11 Point differentialseason to date −28

261Passing yards / game242

135Rushing yards / game136

37%3rd-down conversion34%

6Takeaways9

0Sacks0

10Turnovers7

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Rutgers’ road games with Maryland’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.