Moneyline
UNT MLodds up −769
Won 95%
North Texas wins the game.
Confidence95%
Model93.1%
SportsbooksOdds87.3%
Edge+5.8
Jerry Rice Team vs North Texas prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RICE | 0 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23 |
| UNT | 10 | 0 | 21 | 21 | 52 |
RICE 7%
Pre-game win chance
93% NORTH TEXAS
UNT by 28 · 56 points
Updated Nov 7, 8:41 PM ET
Rice vs North Texas picks
3 picks · North Texas by 28 · 56 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
UNT −8.5odds up −213
Won 78%
North Texas wins by nine points or more.
Confidence78%
Model67.3%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge−0.8
TotalBest pick
Under 71.5odds up −208
Lost 81%
The two teams score 71 or fewer points between them.
Confidence81%
Model74.7%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+6.6
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Rice0707714
North Texas7210142842
Most likely final scoresRICE 14–42 UNT 0.7%RICE 7–42 UNT 0.6%RICE 21–49 UNT 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RiceNorth Texas
Offense
338▲ 433
Total yards
▲ 495476
141▲ 172
Passing yards
▲ 303288
197▲ 261
Rushing yards
▲ 192188
17▲ 19
First downs
▲ 2624
Scoring
2▲ 3
Touchdowns
▲ 76
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 13
1▲ 2
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 63
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▼ 01
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
49▲ 77
Penalty yards
▲ 9853
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 265.5
Proj. 338
72%
Won · 433
Passing yards
Over 84.5
Proj. 141
72%
Won · 172
Rushing yards
Over 144.5
Proj. 197
72%
Won · 261
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 18
74%
Won · 19
Total yards
Over 402.5
Proj. 476
72%
Won · 495
Passing yards
Over 230.5
Proj. 288
72%
Won · 303
Rushing yards
Over 135.5
Proj. 188
72%
Won · 192
First downs
Over 20.5
Proj. 24
71%
Won · 26
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Rice
QB
Gael Ochoa6/8 · 84 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT
84pass yds
RB
Tyvonn Byars11 carries · 40 rush yds · 0.1 TD
40rush yds
WR/TE
Jordan Clark6 rec · 60 yds · 0.0 TD
60rec yds
North Texas
QB
Tayven Jackson22/31 · 268 pass yds · 2.7 TD · 0.7 INT
268pass yds
RB
Jahiem White21 carries · 138 rush yds · 2.4 TD · 3 rec
138rush yds
WR/TE
Justin Stevenson7 rec · 86 yds · 1.1 TD
86rec yds
WR/TE
Kyle Koch4 rec · 40 yds · 0.8 TD
40rec yds
Road form. Rice is 0-4 on the road this season, losing by 21.0 points a game.
Home form. North Texas is 4-0 at home, scoring 51.3 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at UNT −16.5 and is now UNT −15.5, a 1-point move toward Rice.
Rest. Rice comes in on 14 days’ rest, North Texas on 9.
Streak. Rice has lost 7 in a row.
Tale of the tape
Jerry Rice TeamNorth Texas
Jerry Rice TeamNorth Texas
1-7Record6-2
0-4 roadRoad / home4-0 home
L7StreakW5
14 daysRest9 days
21.0Points per game43.8
31.8Points allowed31.9
−86
Point differentialseason to date
+95
83Passing yards / game348
272Rushing yards / game188
31%3rd-down conversion50%
5Takeaways12
0Sacks0
11Turnovers10
90Passing yards / game362
268Rushing yards / game217
27%3rd-down conversion51%
1Takeaways11
0Sacks0
9Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Rice’s road games with North Texas’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Rice
1-7
LLLLL
Wk 8Oct 24@ FAU
Rice49FAU51
Rice moneyline +280FAU moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs TLSA
Tulsa38Rice17
Tulsa moneyline −200Rice moneyline +160
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ ECU
Rice12East Carolina28
Rice moneyline +270East Carolina moneyline −357
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs UTSA
UTSA16Rice14
UTSA moneyline −556Rice moneyline +350
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ FRES
Rice24Fresno St38
Rice moneyline +400Fresno St moneyline −625
LFINAL
North Texas
6-2
WWWWW
Wk 9Oct 29vs FAU
FAU41North Texas48
FAU moneyline +390North Texas moneyline −556
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ NAVY
North Texas49Navy39
North Texas moneyline −161Navy moneyline +120
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CLT
Charlotte10North Texas50
Charlotte moneyline +940North Texas moneyline −5000
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 1@ TLSA
North Texas45Tulsa44
North Texas moneyline −149Tulsa moneyline +117
WF/OT
Wk 4Sep 26vs HC
Hou Christian14North Texas63
Hou Christian: no odds on recordNorth Texas: no odds on record
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameAmerican
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
RICE
0
Wins
Avg. points24.0 – 56.0
Avg. total80.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
NORTH TEXAS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 13Rice home
North Texas56Rice24
North Texas moneyline −1111Rice moneyline +600
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (RICE)+525+525
Moneyline (UNT)−1000−1000
Spread (UNT)−16.5up −15.5
Total64.5up 65.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
North Texas beat Jerry Rice Team 52–23 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Jerry Rice Team at +525 and North Texas at −1000.
Our model predicted a final score of Rice 14, North Texas 42. Its picks: North Texas to win (−769), won; North Texas −8.5 (−213), won; under 71.5 points (−208), lost. The best pick was under 71.5 points, at 81% confidence.