Moneyline
BAL MLodds up −169
Lost 52%
The Ravens win the game.
Confidence52%
Model51.3%
SportsbooksOdds67.3%
Edge−16.0
Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns prediction, picks and odds
Updated Oct 18, 4:08 PM ET
Ravens vs Browns picks
3 picks · Ravens by 3 · 43 points · 1 of 3 wonSpreadBest pick
CLE +10.5odds down −345
Won 78%
The Browns win, or lose by 10 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model80.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.9%
Edge+10.5
Total
Over 35odds up −208
Lost 77%
The two teams score 36 or more points between them (exactly 35 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model73.8%
SportsbooksOdds69.9%
Edge+3.9
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Ravens30713323
Browns0100101020
Most likely final scoresBAL 23–20 CLE 0.9%BAL 20–17 CLE 0.7%BAL 27–24 CLE 0.7%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
RavensBrowns
Offense
342▼ 235
Total yards
▼ 237309
200▼ 148
Passing yards
▼ 144207
142▼ 87
Rushing yards
▼ 93102
20▼ 13
First downs
▼ 1418
Scoring
3▼ 1
Touchdowns
▼ 12
2▼ 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Rushing touchdowns
= 11
1= 1
Field goals made
= 22
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
3= 3
Sacks allowed
▲ 53
54▼ 29
Penalty yards
▼ 4552
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 295.5
Proj. 342
72%
Lost · 235
Passing yards
Over 158.5
Proj. 200
72%
Lost · 148
Rushing yards
Over 114.5
Proj. 143
72%
Lost · 87
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
75%
Lost · 13
Total yards
Over 262.5
Proj. 309
72%
Lost · 237
Passing yards
Over 165.5
Proj. 207
72%
Lost · 144
Rushing yards
Over 74.5
Proj. 103
72%
Won · 93
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 18
72%
Lost · 14
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Ravens
QB
Tyler Huntley13/20 · 116 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.0 INT
116pass yds
RB
Derrick Henry20 carries · 83 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec
83rush yds
WR/TE
Zay Flowers6 rec · 86 yds · 0.6 TD
86rec yds
WR/TE
Mark Andrews4 rec · 31 yds · 0.3 TD
31rec yds
Browns
QB
Deshaun Watson20/32 · 207 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT
207pass yds
RB
Quinshon Judkins15 carries · 48 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 4 rec
48rush yds
WR/TE
Denzel Boston3 rec · 76 yds · 0.4 TD
76rec yds
WR/TE
Harold Fannin Jr.4 rec · 36 yds · 0.4 TD
36rec yds
Road form. The Ravens are 3-0 on the road this season, winning by 9.3 points a game.
Home form. The Browns are 2-0 at home, scoring 24.0 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 41.5 and is now 39.5.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game. Two AFC North rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Baltimore RavensCleveland Browns
Baltimore RavensCleveland Browns
4-1Record3-2
3-0 roadRoad / home2-0 home
W3StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
29.2Points per game18.6
23.8Points allowed22.4
+27
Point differentialseason to date
−19
6.4Yards per play4.7
230Passing yards / game179
164Rushing yards / game94
38%3rd-down conversion31%
74%Red-zone touchdowns45%
6Takeaways6
10Sacks16
3Turnovers7
6.6Yards per play5.0
224Passing yards / game194
201Rushing yards / game122
42%3rd-down conversion36%
71%Red-zone touchdowns80%
4Takeaways3
6Sacks8
2Turnovers3
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Ravens’ road games with the Browns’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Ravens
4-1
WLWWW
Wk 5Oct 11@ ATL
Ravens30Falcons23
Ravens moneyline +145Falcons moneyline −175
WF/OT
Wk 4Oct 4vs TEN
Titans18Ravens24
Titans moneyline +525Ravens moneyline −769
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ DAL
Ravens34Cowboys31
Ravens moneyline −182Cowboys moneyline +150
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20vs NO
Saints24Ravens17
Saints moneyline +315Ravens moneyline −435
LFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13@ IND
Ravens41Colts23
Ravens moneyline −161Colts moneyline +133
WFINAL
Browns
3-2
LWWWL
Wk 5Oct 11@ NYJ
Browns12Jets17
Browns moneyline +121Jets moneyline −149
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 1vs PIT
Steelers24Browns27
Steelers moneyline −154Browns moneyline +125
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27vs CAR
Panthers18Browns21
Panthers moneyline −135Browns moneyline +103
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ TB
Browns23Buccaneers19
Browns moneyline +320Buccaneers moneyline −435
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13@ JAX
Browns10Jaguars34
Browns moneyline +330Jaguars moneyline −455
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this game
Head-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
RAVENS
3
Wins
Avg. points30.8 – 21.0
Avg. total51.8 pts
Over closing total5 of 5
2
BROWNS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 11Huntington Bank Field
Ravens23Browns16
Ravens moneyline −455Browns moneyline +330
2025 · Wk 2M&T Bank Stadium
Browns17Ravens41
Browns moneyline +550Ravens moneyline −1000
2024 · Wk 18M&T Bank Stadium
Browns10Ravens35
Browns moneyline +1050Ravens moneyline −3333
2024 · Wk 8Huntington Bank Field
Ravens24Browns29
Ravens moneyline −370Browns moneyline +275
2023 · Wk 10M&T Bank Stadium
Browns33Ravens31
Browns moneyline +205Ravens moneyline −244
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (BAL)−172up −169
Moneyline (CLE)+146down +144
Spread (CLE)+3.5+3.5
Total41.5down 39.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Cleveland Browns beat the Baltimore Ravens 13–10 in NFL Week 6 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, at Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland. The moneyline had the Ravens at −169 and the Browns at +144.
Our model predicted a final score of Ravens 23, Browns 20. Its picks: the Ravens to win (−169), lost; the Browns +10.5 (−345), won; over 35 points (−208), lost. The best pick was the Browns +10.5, at 78% confidence.