The two teams score 37 or more points between them (exactly 36 is a push).
Confidence77%
Model71.6%SportsbooksOdds70.2%Edge+1.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
CARPanthers70017724
PHIEagles30717327
Most likely final scoresCAR 24–27 PHI 0.8%CAR 20–23 PHI 0.8%CAR 17–20 PHI 0.8%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
CARPanthersEaglesPHI
Offense
340▲ 399Total yards▼ 222327
235▲ 273Passing yards▼ 187208
105▲ 126Rushing yards▼ 35119
20▲ 25First downs▼ 1719
Scoring
3= 3Touchdowns▼ 23
2= 2Passing touchdowns▼ 12
1= 1Rushing touchdowns= 11
1▲ 2Field goals made▼ 02
Ball security
1▼ 0Turnovers▼ 01
1▼ 0Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1▼ 0Fumbles lost▼ 01
2= 2Sacks allowed▲ 32
53▲ 149Penalty yards▲ 8452
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
CARTotal yardsOver 293.5Proj. 34072%Won · 399
CARPassing yardsOver 193.5Proj. 23572%Won · 273
CARRushing yardsOver 77.5Proj. 10672%Won · 126
CARFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2069%Won · 25
PHITotal yardsOver 280.5Proj. 32772%Lost · 222
PHIPassing yardsOver 166.5Proj. 20872%Won · 187
PHIRushing yardsOver 90.5Proj. 11972%Lost · 35
PHIFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1975%Won · 17
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.The Panthers are 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 14.0 points a game.
Home form.The Eagles are 1-1 at home, scoring 22.0 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at PHI −1.5 and is now PHI +3.5, a 5-point move toward the Panthers.
Rest.The Panthers come in on 14 days’ rest, the Eagles on 7.
Streak.The Eagles have lost 3 in a row.
Tale of the tape
CARCarolina PanthersPHIPhiladelphia Eagles
CARCarolina PanthersPHIPhiladelphia Eagles
2-2Record2-3
1-1 roadRoad / home1-1 home
W1StreakL3
14 daysRest7 days
30.3Points per game18.4
27.3Points allowed22.4
+12Point differentialseason to date−20
6.1Yards per play4.5
301Passing yards / game171
105Rushing yards / game92
38%3rd-down conversion37%
65%Red-zone touchdowns64%
7Takeaways3
8Sacks6
4Turnovers5
5.2Yards per play4.4
267Passing yards / game125
83Rushing yards / game120
34%3rd-down conversion23%
44%Red-zone touchdowns57%
6Takeaways2
5Sacks2
1Turnovers0
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Panthers’ road games with the Eagles’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
CARPanthers2-2LLWLW
Wk 4Oct 4vs DET
DETLions26CARPanthers32
Lions moneyline −222Panthers moneyline +180
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 27@ CLE
CARPanthers18CLEBrowns21
Panthers moneyline −135Browns moneyline +103
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ ATL
CARPanthers34ATLFalcons3
Panthers moneyline −147Falcons moneyline +118
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13vs CHI
CHIBears59CARPanthers37
Bears moneyline −167Panthers moneyline +135
LFINAL
Wild CardJan 10, 2026vs LAR
LARRams34CARPanthers31
Rams moneyline −625Panthers moneyline +390
LFINAL
PHIEagles2-3WWLLL
Wk 5Oct 11@ JAX
PHIEagles17JAXJaguars19
Eagles moneyline +310Jaguars moneyline −417
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4vs LAR
LARRams24PHIEagles20
Rams moneyline −200Eagles moneyline +162
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 28@ CHI
PHIEagles7CHIBears27
Eagles moneyline −200Bears moneyline +162
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 20@ TEN
PHIEagles24TENTitans20
Eagles moneyline −345Titans moneyline +255
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 13vs WAS
WASCommanders22PHIEagles24
Commanders moneyline +210Eagles moneyline −270
WFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · standings todayTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2024 · Wk 14Lincoln Financial Field
CARPanthers16PHIEagles22
Panthers moneyline +600Eagles moneyline −1250
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (CAR)−164▴up −156
Moneyline (PHI)+140▾down +132
Spread (PHI)−1.5▴up +3.5
Total42.5▾down 39
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
The Carolina Panthers beat the Philadelphia Eagles 25–14 in NFL Week 6 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, October 18 at 1:00 PM ET, at Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia. The moneyline had the Panthers at −156 and the Eagles at +132.
Our model predicted a final score of Panthers 24, Eagles 27. Its picks: the Eagles to win (+132), lost; the Eagles +5.5 (−161), lost; over 36 points (−167), won. The best pick was the Eagles +5.5, at 78% confidence.