Old Dominion wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.
Confidence84%
Model76.9%SportsbooksOdds68.1%Edge+8.8
TotalBest pick
Over 38.5▴odds up −217Lost75%
The two teams score 39 or more points between them.
Confidence75%
Model65.7%SportsbooksOdds68.0%Edge−2.3
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
ODUOld Dominion70140721
CCUCoastal0100141024
Most likely final scoresODU 21–24 CCU 0.6%ODU 21–28 CCU 0.6%ODU 17–24 CCU 0.5%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
ODUOld DominionCoastalCCU
Offense
361▼ 264Total yards▼ 263345
210▼ 195Passing yards▲ 243214
151▼ 69Rushing yards▼ 20131
19▼ 17First downs▼ 1519
Scoring
3▼ 2Touchdowns▼ 03
1= 1Passing touchdowns▼ 02
2▼ 1Rushing touchdowns▼ 01
0= 0Field goals made▲ 21
Ball security
2▼ 1Turnovers▲ 61
1= 1Interceptions thrown▲ 41
1▼ 0Fumbles lost▲ 21
0Sacks allowed0
62▼ 45Penalty yards▼ 2867
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
ODUTotal yardsOver 287.5Proj. 36172%Lost · 264
ODUPassing yardsOver 153.5Proj. 21072%Won · 195
ODURushing yardsOver 98.5Proj. 15072%Lost · 69
ODUFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1970%Won · 17
CCUTotal yardsOver 272.5Proj. 34572%Lost · 263
CCUPassing yardsOver 156.5Proj. 21472%Won · 243
CCURushing yardsOver 79.5Proj. 13172%Lost · 20
CCUFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1971%Lost · 15
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Old Dominion is 1-3 on the road this season, losing by 18.5 points a game.
Home form.Coastal is 1-3 at home, scoring 29.5 points a game there.
Total move.The total opened at 45.5 and is now 43.5.
Rest.Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game.Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
ODUOld DominionCCUCoastal Carolina
ODUOld DominionCCUCoastal Carolina
2-7Record3-5
1-3 roadRoad / home1-3 home
L3StreakW1
7 daysRest7 days
16.3Points per game26.8
27.8Points allowed25.1
−103Point differentialseason to date+13
171Passing yards / game243
98Rushing yards / game138
34%3rd-down conversion36%
13Takeaways15
0Sacks0
20Turnovers13
129Passing yards / game237
96Rushing yards / game153
33%3rd-down conversion39%
6Takeaways7
0Sacks0
8Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Old Dominion’s road games with Coastal’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 6S.B. Ballard Stadium
ODUOld Dominion47CCUCoastal7
Old Dominion moneyline +590Coastal moneyline −1111
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (ODU)+175▴up +190
Moneyline (CCU)−222▾down −244
Spread (CCU)−6.5−6.5
Total45.5▾down 43.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Old Dominion beat Coastal Carolina 21–8 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 1:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Old Dominion at +190 and Coastal Carolina at −244.
Our model predicted a final score of Old Dominion 21, Coastal 24. Its picks: Coastal Carolina to win (−278), lost; Old Dominion +14.5 (−263), won; over 38.5 points (−217), lost. The best pick was over 38.5 points, at 75% confidence.