Ohio State vs Indiana Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
OSU	3	7	3	6	19
IU	0	7	0	8	15

Ohio State vs Indiana picks

3 picks · Indiana by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 won

Moneyline

IU MLodds down +110 Lost 62%

Indiana wins the game.

Confidence62%

Model54.0% SportsbooksOdds37.9% Edge+16.1

Spread

IU +10.5odds down −345 Won 86%

Indiana wins, or loses by 10 points or fewer.

Confidence86%

Model80.9% SportsbooksOdds70.5% Edge+10.4

TotalBest pick

Over 42.5odds up −256 Lost 79%

The two teams score 43 or more points between them.

Confidence79%

Model71.1% SportsbooksOdds70.4% Edge+0.7

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Ohio State7077721

Indiana770141428

Most likely final scoresOSU 21–28 IU 0.7%OSU 28–31 IU 0.6%OSU 21–24 IU 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Ohio StateIndiana

Offense

376▼ 313 Total yards ▲ 369351

260▼ 235 Passing yards ▲ 296196

116▼ 78 Rushing yards ▼ 73155

20▼ 19 First downs ▼ 1719

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▼ 23

2= 2 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

1▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns = 11

0▲ 2 Field goals made ▼ 02

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers ▲ 21

1▲ 2 Interceptions thrown ▼ 01

0= 0 Fumbles lost ▲ 21

0 Sacks allowed 0

47▲ 50 Penalty yards = 4242

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 302.5 Proj. 376 72% Won · 313

Passing yards Over 202.5 Proj. 260 72% Won · 235

Rushing yards Over 63.5 Proj. 116 72% Won · 78

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70% Won · 19

Total yards Over 278.5 Proj. 352 72% Won · 369

Passing yards Over 139.5 Proj. 196 72% Won · 296

Rushing yards Over 102.5 Proj. 155 72% Lost · 73

First downs Over 14.5 Proj. 19 74% Won · 17

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Ohio State

QB Julian Sayin18/27 · 227 pass yds · 1.7 TD · 0.3 INT 227pass yds

RB Bo Jackson13 carries · 54 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 54rush yds

WR/TE Jeremiah Smith8 rec · 117 yds · 1.1 TD 117rec yds

WR/TE Devin Mccuin3 rec · 36 yds · 0.3 TD 36rec yds

Indiana

QB Josh Hoover15/24 · 185 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.0 INT 185pass yds

RB Lee Beebe15 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.4 TD · 1 rec 64rush yds

WR/TE Nick Marsh5 rec · 72 yds · 0.6 TD 72rec yds

WR/TE Charlie Becker5 rec · 72 yds · 0.8 TD 72rec yds

Road form. Ohio State is 1-1 on the road this season, winning by 8.0 points a game.

Home form. Indiana is 4-0 at home, scoring 43.5 points a game there.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Ohio State has won 4 in a row.

Streak. Indiana has won 6 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Ohio StateIndiana

5-1Record6-0

1-1 roadRoad / home4-0 home

W4StreakW6

7 daysRest7 days

42.7Points per game40.2

13.2Points allowed11.8

+177 Point differentialseason to date +170

338Passing yards / game241

166Rushing yards / game221

45%3rd-down conversion45%

8Takeaways4

0Sacks0

6Turnovers1

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Ohio State’s road games with Indiana’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.