Nebraska vs Rutgers Prediction & Picks

Nebraska vs Rutgers picks

3 picks · Nebraska by 24 · 52 points

MoneylineBest pick

NEB ML−625 92%

Nebraska wins the game.

Confidence92%

Model79.8% SportsbooksOdds84.7% Edge−4.9

Spread

NEB −5.5−263 78%

Nebraska wins by six points or more.

Confidence78%

Model67.6% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge−1.7

Total

Over 46.5odds up −222 74%

The two teams score 47 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model67.9% SportsbooksOdds68.1% Edge−0.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Nebraska10140142438

Rutgers0707714

Most likely final scoresNEB 38–14 RUTG 0.6%NEB 28–21 RUTG 0.6%NEB 38–10 RUTG 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line

NebraskaRutgers

Offense

427 Total yards 326

235 Passing yards 201

192 Rushing yards 125

23 First downs 17

Scoring

5 Touchdowns 2

2 Passing touchdowns 1

3 Rushing touchdowns 1

1 Field goals made 0

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

59 Penalty yards 46

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 353.5 Proj. 427 72%

Passing yards Over 178.5 Proj. 235 72%

Rushing yards Over 139.5 Proj. 192 72%

First downs Over 19.5 Proj. 23 69%

Total yards Over 253.5 Proj. 326 72%

Passing yards Over 144.5 Proj. 202 72%

Rushing yards Over 72.5 Proj. 125 72%

First downs Over 13.5 Proj. 17 73%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Nebraska

QB Anthony Colandrea20/30 · 231 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 231pass yds

RB Jamal Rule10 carries · 61 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 3 rec 61rush yds

WR/TE Jacory Barney Jr.3 rec · 53 yds · 0.3 TD 53rec yds

WR/TE Luke Lindenmeyer4 rec · 29 yds · 0.3 TD 29rec yds

Rutgers

QB AJ Surace9/18 · 123 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.4 INT 123pass yds

RB Antwan Raymond13 carries · 65 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 2 rec 65rush yds

WR/TE KJ Duff5 rec · 84 yds · 0.4 TD 84rec yds

WR/TE Ben Black3 rec · 43 yds · 0.4 TD 43rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at RUTG +12.5 and is now RUTG +13.5, a 1-point move toward Nebraska.

Rest. Nebraska comes in on 8 days’ rest, Rutgers on 7.

Streak. Nebraska has lost 4 in a row.

Streak. Rutgers has lost 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

NebraskaRutgers

5-4Record2-7

L4StreakL3

8 daysRest7 days

30.2Points per game25.8

16.6Points allowed32.4

10th Big TenConference18th Big Ten

+123 Point differentialseason to date −60

214Passing yards / game220

167Rushing yards / game144

50%3rd-down conversion39%

10Takeaways8

0Sacks0

4Turnovers14

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Nebraska’s road games with Rutgers’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.