Nebraska vs Oregon Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
NEB	0	7	7	0	14
ORE	0	0	6	11	17

Nebraska vs Oregon picks

3 picks · Oregon by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

ORE MLodds up −270 Won 94%

Oregon wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model71.8% SportsbooksOdds73.5% Edge−1.7

SpreadBest pick

ORE +1.5odds up −286 Won 78%

Oregon wins, or loses by one point or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model73.7% SportsbooksOdds72.7% Edge+1.0

Total

Over 44.5odds up −238 Lost 74%

The two teams score 45 or more points between them.

Confidence74%

Model70.9% SportsbooksOdds69.9% Edge+1.0

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Nebraska70140721

Oregon770141428

Most likely final scoresNEB 21–28 ORE 0.6%NEB 14–42 ORE 0.5%NEB 24–27 ORE 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

NebraskaOregon

Offense

350▼ 242 Total yards ▼ 242390

209▼ 164 Passing yards ▼ 113253

141▼ 78 Rushing yards ▼ 129137

19▼ 14 First downs ▼ 1519

Scoring

3▼ 2 Touchdowns ▼ 13

2▼ 1 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 01

0= 0 Field goals made ▲ 32

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers ▲ 21

1= 1 Interceptions thrown = 11

0= 0 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

56▼ 55 Penalty yards ▼ 3554

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 276.5 Proj. 350 72% Lost · 242

Passing yards Over 152.5 Proj. 209 72% Won · 164

Rushing yards Over 88.5 Proj. 141 72% Lost · 78

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 73% Lost · 14

Total yards Over 316.5 Proj. 390 72% Lost · 242

Passing yards Over 195.5 Proj. 253 72% Lost · 113

Rushing yards Over 84.5 Proj. 137 72% Won · 129

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 73% Lost · 15

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Nebraska

QB Anthony Colandrea17/30 · 198 pass yds · 1.9 TD · 0.8 INT 198pass yds

RB Mekhi Nelson9 carries · 31 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 1 rec 31rush yds

WR/TE Kwazi Gilmer5 rec · 59 yds · 0.9 TD 59rec yds

WR/TE Luke Lindenmeyer3 rec · 21 yds · 0.1 TD 21rec yds

Oregon

QB Dylan Raiola9/15 · 113 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 113pass yds

RB Jordon Davison12 carries · 60 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 1 rec 60rush yds

WR/TE Evan Stewart4 rec · 56 yds · 0.5 TD 56rec yds

WR/TE Messiah Hampton3 rec · 33 yds · 0.3 TD 33rec yds

Road form. Nebraska is 1-0 on the road this season, winning by 18.0 points a game.

Home form. Oregon is 2-1 at home, scoring 44.3 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at ORE −13.5 and is now ORE −6.5, a 7-point move toward Nebraska.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Tale of the tape

NebraskaOregon

5-1Record3-2

1-0 roadRoad / home2-1 home

L1StreakL1

7 daysRest7 days

39.2Points per game41.0

15.2Points allowed22.0

+144 Point differentialseason to date +95

246Passing yards / game317

214Rushing yards / game139

52%3rd-down conversion42%

8Takeaways10

0Sacks0

3Turnovers9

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Nebraska’s road games with Oregon’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.