Memphis vs Tulane Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
MEM	3	7	0	7	17
TULN	0	23	0	8	31

Memphis vs Tulane picks

3 picks · Memphis by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

MEM MLodds up −270 Lost 65%

Memphis wins the game.

Confidence65%

Model54.9% SportsbooksOdds71.1% Edge−16.2

SpreadBest pick

TULN +14.5−270 Won 79%

Tulane wins, or loses by 14 points or fewer.

Confidence79%

Model78.7% SportsbooksOdds69.8% Edge+8.9

Total

Under 60.5odds up −172 Won 74%

The two teams score 60 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model73.5% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge+5.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Memphis70714728

Tulane07014721

Most likely final scoresMEM 28–21 TULN 0.6%MEM 27–24 TULN 0.6%MEM 24–21 TULN 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

MemphisTulane

Offense

430▲ 482 Total yards ▼ 325382

222▲ 306 Passing yards ▼ 175205

208▼ 176 Rushing yards ▼ 150177

22▲ 27 First downs ▼ 1219

Scoring

4▼ 2 Touchdowns = 33

2= 2 Passing touchdowns = 11

2▼ 0 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 12

Ball security

1▲ 6 Turnovers ▲ 21

1▲ 3 Interceptions thrown = 11

0▲ 3 Fumbles lost = 11

0 Sacks allowed 0

51▼ 12 Penalty yards ▲ 8051

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 357.5 Proj. 430 72% Won · 482

Passing yards Over 164.5 Proj. 222 72% Won · 306

Rushing yards Over 156.5 Proj. 209 72% Won · 176

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 72% Won · 27

Total yards Over 308.5 Proj. 382 72% Won · 325

Passing yards Over 148.5 Proj. 205 72% Won · 175

Rushing yards Over 124.5 Proj. 177 72% Won · 150

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 19 70% Lost · 12

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Memphis

QB Marcus Stokes17/25 · 210 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.5 INT 210pass yds

RB Jaylin Carter15 carries · 91 rush yds · 1.3 TD · 1 rec 91rush yds

WR/TE Braylon Burnside2 rec · 34 yds · 0.2 TD 34rec yds

WR/TE Jermane Hayes4 rec · 34 yds · 0.2 TD 34rec yds

Tulane

QB Kadin Semonza14/24 · 183 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.7 INT 183pass yds

RB Johnnie Daniels11 carries · 54 rush yds · 0.6 TD 54rush yds

WR/TE Destyn Hill4 rec · 62 yds · 0.3 TD 62rec yds

WR/TE Anthony Brown3 rec · 39 yds · 0.3 TD 39rec yds

Road form. Memphis is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 13.0 points a game.

Home form. Tulane is 2-0 at home, scoring 26.0 points a game there.

Total move. The total opened at 54.5 and is now 55.5.

Rest. Both teams come in on 6 days’ rest.

Streak. Memphis has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

MemphisTulane

5-1Record2-3

2-1 roadRoad / home2-0 home

W3StreakL1

6 daysRest6 days

38.5Points per game18.4

20.8Points allowed22.6

+106 Point differentialseason to date −21

270Passing yards / game181

247Rushing yards / game153

49%3rd-down conversion39%

11Takeaways1

0Sacks0

5Turnovers3

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Memphis’ road games with Tulane’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.