3 picks · Old Dominion by 3 · 45 points · 1 of 3 won
Moneyline
ODU ML▴odds up +119Lost69%
Old Dominion wins the game.
Confidence69%
Model56.7%SportsbooksOdds42.3%Edge+14.4
Spread
ODU +8.5▴odds up −250Lost79%
Old Dominion wins, or loses by eight points or fewer.
Confidence79%
Model69.4%SportsbooksOdds69.2%Edge+0.2
TotalBest pick
Over 37.5▾odds down −278Won83%
The two teams score 38 or more points between them.
Confidence83%
Model77.1%SportsbooksOdds69.3%Edge+7.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
MRSHMarshall014071421
ODUOld Dominion770101424
Most likely final scoresMRSH 21–24 ODU 0.6%MRSH 21–28 ODU 0.6%MRSH 14–28 ODU 0.6%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
MRSHMarshallOld DominionODU
Offense
377▼ 338Total yards▲ 409373
230▼ 142Passing yards▲ 329205
147▲ 196Rushing yards▼ 80168
21▼ 17First downs▲ 2019
Scoring
2= 2Touchdowns= 33
1▼ 0Passing touchdowns▼ 02
1▲ 2Rushing touchdowns▲ 21
2▲ 5Field goals made= 11
Ball security
1= 1Turnovers▲ 41
1= 1Interceptions thrown▲ 31
1▼ 0Fumbles lost= 11
0Sacks allowed0
63▲ 94Penalty yards▲ 9254
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
MRSHTotal yardsOver 304.5Proj. 37772%Won · 338
MRSHPassing yardsOver 172.5Proj. 23072%Lost · 142
MRSHRushing yardsOver 95.5Proj. 14872%Won · 196
MRSHFirst downsOver 17.5Proj. 2171%Lost · 17
ODUTotal yardsOver 300.5Proj. 37372%Won · 409
ODUPassing yardsOver 148.5Proj. 20672%Won · 329
ODURushing yardsOver 115.5Proj. 16872%Lost · 80
ODUFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 2074%Won · 20
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Marshall is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 22.3 points a game.
Home form.Old Dominion is 1-3 at home, scoring 20.8 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at ODU +3.5 and is now ODU +2.5, a 1-point move toward Old Dominion.
Rest.Marshall comes in on 11 days’ rest, Old Dominion on 7.
Division game.Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
MRSHMarshallODUOld Dominion
MRSHMarshallODUOld Dominion
4-3Record2-6
1-2 roadRoad / home1-3 home
W1StreakL2
11 daysRest7 days
21.7Points per game15.5
30.7Points allowed26.8
−63Point differentialseason to date−90
238Passing yards / game151
157Rushing yards / game100
40%3rd-down conversion34%
6Takeaways12
0Sacks0
14Turnovers16
203Passing yards / game173
149Rushing yards / game103
40%3rd-down conversion34%
2Takeaways6
0Sacks0
5Turnovers8
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Marshall’s road games with Old Dominion’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
MRSHMarshall4-3WWLLW
Wk 8Oct 20vs USA
USASouth Alabama13MRSHMarshall20
South Alabama moneyline −122Marshall moneyline +100
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CCU
CCUCoastal27MRSHMarshall21
Coastal moneyline +148Marshall moneyline −213
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ JMU
MRSHMarshall17JMUJames Madison45
Marshall moneyline +480James Madison moneyline −909
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Marshall beat Old Dominion 36–23 in college football Week 9, on Saturday, October 31 at 1:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Marshall at −152 and Old Dominion at +123.
Our model predicted a final score of Marshall 21, Old Dominion 24. Its picks: Old Dominion to win (+119), lost; Old Dominion +8.5 (−250), lost; over 37.5 points (−278), won. The best pick was over 37.5 points, at 83% confidence.