MoneylineBest pick
GASO MLodds up −303
Won 91%
GA Southern wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model73.3%
SportsbooksOdds78.1%
Edge−4.8
Marshall vs Georgia Southern prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
| GASO | 14 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 49 |
MARSHALL 27%
Pre-game win chance
73% GA SOUTHERN
GASO by 3 · 59 points
Updated Nov 7, 6:58 PM ET
Marshall vs GA Southern picks
3 picks · GA Southern by 3 · 59 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
MRSH +18.5odds down −370
Lost 80%
Marshall wins, or loses by 18 points or fewer.
Confidence80%
Model69.9%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge+0.7
Total
Over 47.5odds up −233
Won 74%
The two teams score 48 or more points between them.
Confidence74%
Model67.9%
SportsbooksOdds68.3%
Edge−0.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Marshall70147728
GA Southern773141431
Most likely final scoresMRSH 28–31 GASO 0.6%MRSH 21–28 GASO 0.5%MRSH 28–35 GASO 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
MarshallGA Southern
Offense
367▲ 412
Total yards
▼ 454456
222▼ 162
Passing yards
▼ 287288
145▲ 250
Rushing yards
▼ 167168
20▲ 21
First downs
▼ 2123
Scoring
3▼ 2
Touchdowns
▲ 74
2▼ 0
Passing touchdowns
▲ 42
1▲ 2
Rushing touchdowns
= 22
2▼ 0
Field goals made
▼ 01
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
▼ 01
1▲ 2
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
63▼ 55
Penalty yards
▲ 7961
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 294.5
Proj. 368
72%
Won · 412
Passing yards
Over 164.5
Proj. 222
72%
Lost · 162
Rushing yards
Over 93.5
Proj. 146
72%
Won · 250
First downs
Over 16.5
Proj. 20
73%
Won · 21
Total yards
Over 382.5
Proj. 456
72%
Won · 454
Passing yards
Over 230.5
Proj. 288
72%
Won · 287
Rushing yards
Over 115.5
Proj. 168
72%
Won · 167
First downs
Over 19.5
Proj. 23
73%
Won · 21
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Marshall
QB
Carlos Del RioWilson12/20 · 146 pass yds · 1.4 TD · 0.6 INT
146pass yds
RB
Judah Price8 carries · 41 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 2 rec
41rush yds
WR/TE
Toby Payne3 rec · 30 yds · 0.0 TD
30rec yds
WR/TE
Owen Sweeney2 rec · 23 yds · 0.3 TD
23rec yds
GA Southern
QB
Max Johnson20/32 · 243 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.5 INT
243pass yds
RB
Tyrese Woodgett11 carries · 57 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 3 rec
57rush yds
WR/TE
Alex Taylor5 rec · 69 yds · 0.6 TD
69rec yds
WR/TE
Josh Dallas5 rec · 57 yds · 0.0 TD
57rec yds
Road form. Marshall is 2-2 on the road this season, losing by 13.5 points a game.
Home form. GA Southern is 2-2 at home, scoring 25.5 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at GASO −8.5 and is now GASO −7.5, a 1-point move toward Marshall.
Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
MarshallGeorgia Southern
MarshallGeorgia Southern
5-3Record4-4
2-2 roadRoad / home2-2 home
W2StreakW2
7 daysRest7 days
23.5Points per game23.8
29.8Points allowed20.5
−50
Point differentialseason to date
+26
226Passing yards / game283
162Rushing yards / game119
37%3rd-down conversion40%
10Takeaways12
0Sacks0
15Turnovers7
188Passing yards / game329
161Rushing yards / game113
33%3rd-down conversion45%
6Takeaways5
0Sacks0
6Turnovers4
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Marshall’s road games with GA Southern’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Marshall
5-3
WLLWW
Wk 9Oct 31@ ODU
Marshall36Old Dominion23
Marshall moneyline −152Old Dominion moneyline +123
WFINAL
Wk 8Oct 20vs USA
South Alabama13Marshall20
South Alabama moneyline −122Marshall moneyline +100
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs CCU
Coastal27Marshall21
Coastal moneyline +148Marshall moneyline −213
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ JMU
Marshall17James Madison45
Marshall moneyline +480James Madison moneyline −909
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs GW
Gardner-Webb35Marshall36
Gardner-Webb moneyline +1000Marshall moneyline −3333
WFINAL
GA Southern
4-4
LWLWW
Wk 9Oct 31vs APP
App State3GA Southern19
App State moneyline +180GA Southern moneyline −250
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 15@ ODU
GA Southern23Old Dominion15
GA Southern moneyline −175Old Dominion moneyline +143
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs JMU
James Madison27GA Southern24
James Madison moneyline −294GA Southern moneyline +230
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ CCU
GA Southern31Coastal24
GA Southern moneyline −143Coastal moneyline +107
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs HOU
Houston42GA Southern28
Houston moneyline −1000GA Southern moneyline +520
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
MARSHALL
0
Wins
Avg. points19.0 – 24.0
Avg. total43.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
GA SOUTHERN
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 14Marshall home
GA Southern24Marshall19
GA Southern moneyline +295Marshall moneyline −417
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (MRSH)+220+220
Moneyline (GASO)−286−286
Spread (GASO)−8.5up −7.5
Total53.5up 54.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Georgia Southern beat Marshall 49–13 in college football Week 10, on Saturday, November 7 at 3:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Marshall at +220 and Georgia Southern at −286.
Our model predicted a final score of Marshall 28, GA Southern 31. Its picks: Georgia Southern to win (−303), won; Marshall +18.5 (−370), lost; over 47.5 points (−233), won. The best pick was Georgia Southern to win, at 91% confidence.