Louisville vs Georgia Tech Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
LOU	10	17	10	7	44
GT	3	7	0	7	17

Louisville vs Georgia Tech picks

3 picks · Louisville by 3 · 59 points · 2 of 3 won

Moneyline

LOU MLodds down −714 Won 94%

Louisville wins the game.

Confidence94%

Model75.6% SportsbooksOdds85.3% Edge−9.7

SpreadBest pick

GT +22.5odds up −250 Lost 78%

Georgia Tech wins, or loses by 22 points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model74.7% SportsbooksOdds69.2% Edge+5.5

Total

Under 68.5odds up −208 Won 74%

The two teams score 68 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model74.3% SportsbooksOdds68.7% Edge+5.6

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Louisville773141431

Georgia Tech770141428

Most likely final scoresLOU 31–28 GT 0.6%LOU 31–24 GT 0.6%LOU 28–21 GT 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

LouisvilleGeorgia Tech

Offense

445▲ 456 Total yards ▼ 350374

216▼ 205 Passing yards ▼ 241250

229▲ 251 Rushing yards ▼ 109124

22= 22 First downs ▲ 2321

Scoring

4▲ 5 Touchdowns ▼ 23

1▲ 2 Passing touchdowns = 22

3= 3 Rushing touchdowns ▼ 01

1▲ 3 Field goals made ▼ 12

Ball security

1= 1 Turnovers = 11

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown = 11

1= 1 Fumbles lost ▼ 01

0 Sacks allowed 0

68▲ 73 Penalty yards ▼ 4060

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 372.5 Proj. 445 72% Won · 456

Passing yards Over 158.5 Proj. 216 72% Won · 205

Rushing yards Over 177.5 Proj. 230 72% Won · 251

First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 22 69% Won · 22

Total yards Over 300.5 Proj. 374 72% Won · 350

Passing yards Over 192.5 Proj. 250 72% Won · 241

Rushing yards Over 71.5 Proj. 124 72% Won · 109

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 21 70% Won · 23

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Louisville

QB Lincoln Kienholz16/27 · 216 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.6 INT 216pass yds

RB Isaac Brown12 carries · 102 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec 102rush yds

WR/TE Tre Richardson4 rec · 67 yds · 0.1 TD 67rec yds

WR/TE Treyshun Hurry4 rec · 41 yds · 0.1 TD 41rec yds

Georgia Tech

QB Alberto Mendoza21/32 · 227 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.8 INT 227pass yds

RB Justice Haynes16 carries · 74 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 74rush yds

WR/TE Jordan Allen6 rec · 69 yds · 0.2 TD 69rec yds

WR/TE Kevin Roche Jr.4 rec · 33 yds · 0.2 TD 33rec yds

Road form. Louisville is 1-2 on the road this season.

Home form. Georgia Tech is 2-3 at home, scoring 27.2 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at GT +13.5 and is now GT +14.5, a 1-point move toward Louisville.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Louisville has won 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

LouisvilleGeorgia Tech

5-3Record2-6

1-2 roadRoad / home2-3 home

W3StreakL3

7 daysRest7 days

40.4Points per game24.8

27.0Points allowed30.8

+107 Point differentialseason to date −48

267Passing yards / game241

225Rushing yards / game120

47%3rd-down conversion31%

14Takeaways6

0Sacks0

7Turnovers11

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Louisville’s road games with Georgia Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.