Moneyline
LIB MLodds up −370
Won 71%
Liberty wins the game.
Confidence71%
Model57.4%
SportsbooksOdds80.9%
Edge−23.5
Liberty vs Kennesaw State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LIB | 14 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 34 |
| KENN | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
LIBERTY 57%
Pre-game win chance
43% KENNESAW ST
LIB by 7 · 49 points
Updated Oct 22, 10:24 PM ET
Liberty vs Kennesaw St picks
3 picks · Liberty by 7 · 49 points · 1 of 3 wonSpread
KENN +19.5odds down −333
Lost 78%
Kennesaw St wins, or loses by 19 points or fewer.
Confidence78%
Model66.3%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge−2.6
TotalBest pick
Over 41.5odds down −294
Lost 78%
The two teams score 42 or more points between them.
Confidence78%
Model69.4%
SportsbooksOdds69.8%
Edge−0.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Liberty147702128
Kennesaw St014701421
Most likely final scoresLIB 28–21 KENN 0.6%LIB 27–24 KENN 0.6%LIB 24–21 KENN 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
LibertyKennesaw St
Offense
400▲ 402
Total yards
▼ 297368
205▼ 187
Passing yards
▲ 235220
195▲ 215
Rushing yards
▼ 62148
22▼ 21
First downs
▼ 1521
Scoring
3▲ 4
Touchdowns
▼ 03
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▼ 01
2▲ 3
Rushing touchdowns
▼ 02
2= 2
Field goals made
▲ 20
Ball security
1▼ 0
Turnovers
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Interceptions thrown
▲ 21
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
72▲ 85
Penalty yards
▼ 3271
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 327.5
Proj. 400
72%
Won · 402
Passing yards
Over 148.5
Proj. 205
72%
Won · 187
Rushing yards
Over 142.5
Proj. 195
72%
Won · 215
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 22
71%
Won · 21
Total yards
Over 295.5
Proj. 368
72%
Won · 297
Passing yards
Over 163.5
Proj. 220
72%
Won · 235
Rushing yards
Over 96.5
Proj. 148
72%
Lost · 62
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Lost · 15
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Liberty
QB
Deshawn Purdie15/23 · 186 pass yds · 0.7 TD · 0.0 INT
186pass yds
RB
Kam Davis11 carries · 76 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec
76rush yds
WR/TE
Makai Jackson5 rec · 91 yds · 0.5 TD
91rec yds
WR/TE
Jamari Person3 rec · 29 yds · 0.2 TD
29rec yds
Kennesaw St
QB
Rickie Collins19/29 · 211 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.5 INT
211pass yds
RB
Alan Woods III10 carries · 44 rush yds · 0.6 TD · 3 rec
44rush yds
WR/TE
Brayden Munroe3 rec · 61 yds · 0.0 TD
61rec yds
WR/TE
Javon Rogers3 rec · 50 yds · 0.3 TD
50rec yds
Road form. Liberty is 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 8.7 points a game.
Home form. Kennesaw St is 1-2 at home, scoring 30.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at KENN +10.5 and is now KENN +9.5, a 1-point move toward Kennesaw St.
Rest. Liberty comes in on 14 days’ rest, Kennesaw St on 8.
Streak. Liberty has won 5 in a row.
Tale of the tape
LibertyKennesaw State
LibertyKennesaw State
5-1Record1-5
2-1 roadRoad / home1-2 home
W5StreakL5
14 daysRest8 days
31.2Points per game22.3
15.3Points allowed23.5
+95
Point differentialseason to date
−7
193Passing yards / game224
223Rushing yards / game144
45%3rd-down conversion41%
8Takeaways8
0Sacks0
5Turnovers6
203Passing yards / game255
212Rushing yards / game162
41%3rd-down conversion41%
4Takeaways6
0Sacks0
2Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Liberty’s road games with Kennesaw St’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Liberty
5-1
WWWWW
Wk 6Oct 8vs SHSU
Sam Houston3Liberty35
Sam Houston: no odds on recordLiberty: no odds on record
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 2@ DEL
Liberty30Delaware14
Liberty moneyline −294Delaware moneyline +210
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 24@ CCU
Liberty34Coastal17
Liberty moneyline −145Coastal moneyline +110
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs BALL
Ball State15Liberty51
Ball State moneyline +480Liberty moneyline −833
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs GW
Gardner-Webb23Liberty24
Gardner-Webb moneyline +1200Liberty moneyline −10000
WFINAL
Kennesaw St
1-5
LLLLL
Wk 7Oct 14@ MOST
Kennesaw St21Missouri St24
Kennesaw St moneyline −152Missouri St moneyline +112
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 7vs JVST
Jax State27Kennesaw St26
Jax State moneyline −154Kennesaw St moneyline +119
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ ARST
Kennesaw St14Arkansas St17
Kennesaw St moneyline +187Arkansas St moneyline −263
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ TENN
Kennesaw St9Tennessee42
Kennesaw St moneyline +1500Tennessee moneyline −10000
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs GAST
Georgia St31Kennesaw St17
Georgia St moneyline +235Kennesaw St moneyline −323
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameC-USA
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
LIBERTY
0
Wins
Avg. points42.0 – 48.0
Avg. total90.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
1
KENNESAW ST
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 14Liberty home
Kennesaw St48Liberty42
Kennesaw St moneyline −149Liberty moneyline +110
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (LIB)−417−417
Moneyline (KENN)+290+290
Spread (KENN)+10.5down +9.5
Total47.5up 50.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Liberty beat Kennesaw State 34–6 in college football Week 8, on Thursday, October 22 at 7:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Liberty at −417 and Kennesaw State at +290.
Our model predicted a final score of Liberty 28, Kennesaw St 21. Its picks: Liberty to win (−370), won; Kennesaw State +19.5 (−333), lost; over 41.5 points (−294), lost. The best pick was over 41.5 points, at 78% confidence.