The two teams score 75 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model75.1%SportsbooksOdds68.7%Edge+6.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
KUKansas0171001727
WVUWest Virginia77731424
Most likely final scoresKU 27–24 WVU 0.5%KU 31–24 WVU 0.5%KU 24–21 WVU 0.5%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
KUKansasWest VirginiaWVU
Offense
468Total yards402
278Passing yards204
190Rushing yards198
23First downs20
Scoring
3Touchdowns3
1Passing touchdowns1
2Rushing touchdowns2
2Field goals made1
Ball security
1Turnovers1
1Interceptions thrown1
1Fumbles lost1
0Sacks allowed0
58Penalty yards55
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
KUTotal yardsOver 395.5Proj. 46872%
KUPassing yardsOver 220.5Proj. 27872%
KURushing yardsOver 137.5Proj. 19072%
KUFirst downsOver 19.5Proj. 2370%
WVUTotal yardsOver 329.5Proj. 40272%
WVUPassing yardsOver 147.5Proj. 20472%
WVURushing yardsOver 145.5Proj. 19872%
WVUFirst downsOver 16.5Proj. 2071%
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Line move.The spread opened at WVU −4.5 and is now WVU −2.5, a 2-point move toward Kansas.
Rest.Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
KUKansasWVUWest Virginia
KUKansasWVUWest Virginia
3-6Record5-4
L2StreakL1
7 daysRest7 days
29.4Points per game37.2
24.8Points allowed34.6
15th Big 12Conference10th Big 12
+42Point differentialseason to date+24
240Passing yards / game217
202Rushing yards / game264
37%3rd-down conversion48%
10Takeaways10
0Sacks0
15Turnovers8
256Passing yards / game231
131Rushing yards / game274
32%3rd-down conversion52%
4Takeaways6
0Sacks0
4Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Kansas’ road games with West Virginia’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
KUKansas3-6LLWLL
Wk 10Nov 7vs UCF
UCFUCF33KUKansas32
UCF moneyline +170Kansas moneyline −213
LFINAL
Wk 9Oct 31@ TCU
KUKansas16TCUTCU22
Kansas moneyline +190TCU moneyline −263
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24vs BAY
BAYBaylor24KUKansas25
Baylor moneyline −112Kansas moneyline −119
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17@ KSU
KUKansas24KSUKansas St35
Kansas moneyline +128Kansas St moneyline −159
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ UTAH
KUKansas24UTAHUtah41
Kansas moneyline +500Utah moneyline −769
LFINAL
WVUWest Virginia5-4LLWWL
Wk 10Nov 7@ TTU
WVUWest Virginia48TTUTexas Tech53
West Virginia moneyline +525Texas Tech moneyline −833
LFINAL
Wk 8Oct 24@ TCU
WVUWest Virginia24TCUTCU20
West Virginia moneyline +290TCU moneyline −417
WFINAL
Wk 7Oct 17vs CIN
CINCincinnati42WVUWest Virginia45
Cincinnati moneyline +100West Virginia moneyline −123
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ARIZ
ARIZArizona52WVUWest Virginia31
Arizona moneyline −172West Virginia moneyline +143
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ ISU
WVUWest Virginia42ISUIowa State45
West Virginia moneyline +122Iowa State moneyline −161
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standingsTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 4David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
KUKansas41WVUWest Virginia10
Kansas moneyline +320West Virginia moneyline −556
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (KU)+118+118
Moneyline (WVU)−147−147
Spread (WVU)−4.5▴up −2.5
Total68.5▾down 67.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Kansas visits West Virginia in college football Week 11, on Saturday, November 14 at 5:30 PM ET. Kansas comes in at 3-6 and West Virginia at 5-4. The moneyline has Kansas at +118 and West Virginia at −147.
Our model predicts a final score of Kansas 27, West Virginia 24. Its picks: Kansas to win (+113); Kansas +8.5 (−256); under 75.5 points (−238). The best pick is Kansas +8.5, at 78% confidence.