James Madison vs UConn Prediction & Picks

James Madison vs UConn picks

3 picks · James Madison by 3 · 59 points

Moneyline

JMU MLodds down −189 93%

James Madison wins the game.

Confidence93%

Model65.8% SportsbooksOdds59.3% Edge+6.5

SpreadBest pick

JMU +3.5odds down −294 78%

James Madison wins, or loses by three points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model74.7% SportsbooksOdds69.3% Edge+5.4

Total

Under 65.5−250 74%

The two teams score 65 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model68.3% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge0.0

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

James Madison1401071431

UConn70714728

Most likely final scoresJMU 31–28 CONN 0.5%JMU 31–24 CONN 0.5%JMU 27–24 CONN 0.5%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

James MadisonUConn

Offense

419 Total yards 384

241 Passing yards 244

178 Rushing yards 140

22 First downs 20

Scoring

4 Touchdowns 4

2 Passing touchdowns 2

2 Rushing touchdowns 2

1 Field goals made 0

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1

1 Interceptions thrown 1

1 Fumbles lost 1

0 Sacks allowed 0

62 Penalty yards 63

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 346.5 Proj. 419 72%

Passing yards Over 183.5 Proj. 241 72%

Rushing yards Over 126.5 Proj. 179 72%

First downs Over 17.5 Proj. 22 74%

Total yards Over 311.5 Proj. 384 72%

Passing yards Over 187.5 Proj. 244 72%

Rushing yards Over 87.5 Proj. 140 72%

First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 70%

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

James Madison

QB JC Evans8/10 · 97 pass yds · 0.8 TD · 0.2 INT 97pass yds

RB Seth Cromwell11 carries · 45 rush yds · 0.3 TD · 2 rec 45rush yds

WR/TE Corey Scott3 rec · 57 yds · 0.5 TD 57rec yds

WR/TE Braeden Wisloski3 rec · 38 yds · 0.3 TD 38rec yds

UConn

QB Kalieb Osborne19/33 · 244 pass yds · 2.0 TD · 0.7 INT 244pass yds

RB Cyncir Bowers12 carries · 66 rush yds · 0.9 TD · 2 rec 66rush yds

WR/TE Ryder Treadway3 rec · 44 yds · 0.4 TD 44rec yds

WR/TE Shamar Porter2 rec · 35 yds · 0.2 TD 35rec yds

Line move. The spread opened at CONN +2.5 and is now CONN +4.5, a 2-point move toward James Madison.

Rest. James Madison comes in on 9 days’ rest, UConn on 7.

Tale of the tape

James MadisonUConn

8-2Record4-5

W1StreakL2

9 daysRest7 days

40.6Points per game32.9

19.3Points allowed26.7

1st Sun BeltConference2nd FBS Independents

+213 Point differentialseason to date +56

256Passing yards / game247

199Rushing yards / game183

37%3rd-down conversion41%

13Takeaways8

0Sacks0

11Turnovers10

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares James Madison’s road games with UConn’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.