MoneylineBest pick
JMU MLodds down −556
Lost 92%
James Madison wins the game.
Confidence92%
Model81.9%
SportsbooksOdds80.3%
Edge+1.6
James Madison vs Appalachian State prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JMU | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 31 |
| APP | 0 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 34 |
JAMES MADISON 82%
Pre-game win chance
18% APP STATE
JMU by 28 · 42 points
Updated Oct 22, 11:09 PM ET
James Madison vs App State picks
3 picks · James Madison by 28 · 42 points · 0 of 3 wonSpread
JMU −3.5odds down −286
Lost 82%
James Madison wins by four points or more.
Confidence82%
Model74.0%
SportsbooksOdds68.9%
Edge+5.1
Total
Under 64.5odds down −256
Lost 74%
The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model74.9%
SportsbooksOdds68.1%
Edge+6.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
James Madison714772135
App State070077
Most likely final scoresJMU 35–7 APP 0.7%JMU 42–14 APP 0.6%JMU 38–14 APP 0.5%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
James MadisonApp State
Offense
433▼ 423
Total yards
▲ 366362
234▲ 331
Passing yards
▲ 285238
199▼ 92
Rushing yards
▼ 81124
21▼ 19
First downs
▲ 2219
Scoring
4= 4
Touchdowns
▲ 21
2= 2
Passing touchdowns
▲ 31
2= 2
Rushing touchdowns
= 00
2▼ 1
Field goals made
▲ 40
Ball security
1= 1
Turnovers
▼ 01
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1▼ 0
Fumbles lost
▼ 01
0
Sacks allowed
0
61▲ 92
Penalty yards
▲ 6859
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 360.5
Proj. 433
72%
Won · 423
Passing yards
Over 177.5
Proj. 235
72%
Won · 331
Rushing yards
Over 146.5
Proj. 199
72%
Lost · 92
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
73%
Won · 19
Total yards
Over 289.5
Proj. 362
72%
Won · 366
Passing yards
Over 181.5
Proj. 239
72%
Won · 285
Rushing yards
Over 71.5
Proj. 124
72%
Won · 81
First downs
Over 15.5
Proj. 20
74%
Won · 22
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
James Madison
QB
Camden Coleman16/27 · 194 pass yds · 1.4 TD · 0.7 INT
194pass yds
RB
George Pettaway15 carries · 103 rush yds · 0.8 TD · 2 rec
103rush yds
WR/TE
Cole Keller3 rec · 45 yds · 0.4 TD
45rec yds
WR/TE
Michael Scott3 rec · 37 yds · 0.2 TD
37rec yds
App State
QB
Malachi Singleton18/30 · 212 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.5 INT
212pass yds
RB
Jaquari Lewis11 carries · 46 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec
46rush yds
WR/TE
Sam Pickett III4 rec · 61 yds · 0.5 TD
61rec yds
WR/TE
Nate Branch4 rec · 38 yds · 0.0 TD
38rec yds
Road form. James Madison is 3-0 on the road this season, winning by 14.0 points a game.
Home form. App State is 2-1 at home, scoring 28.0 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at APP +10.5 and is now APP +12.5, a 2-point move toward James Madison.
Rest. James Madison comes in on 5 days’ rest, App State on 6.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
James MadisonAppalachian State
James MadisonAppalachian State
7-0Record4-2
3-0 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W7StreakW1
5 daysRest6 days
42.9Points per game29.5
16.0Points allowed21.8
+188
Point differentialseason to date
+46
237Passing yards / game268
224Rushing yards / game154
40%3rd-down conversion36%
12Takeaways11
0Sacks0
5Turnovers7
239Passing yards / game253
181Rushing yards / game160
32%3rd-down conversion28%
6Takeaways7
0Sacks0
2Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares James Madison’s road games with App State’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
James Madison
7-0
WWWWW
Wk 7Oct 17vs GAST
Georgia St22James Madison49
Georgia St moneyline +275James Madison moneyline −370
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10@ GASO
James Madison27GA Southern24
James Madison moneyline −294GA Southern moneyline +230
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs MRSH
Marshall17James Madison45
Marshall moneyline +480James Madison moneyline −909
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ ODU
James Madison46Old Dominion20
James Madison moneyline −270Old Dominion moneyline +195
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ SDSU
James Madison26San Diego St13
James Madison moneyline +110San Diego St moneyline −141
WFINAL
App State
4-2
WWLLW
Wk 7Oct 16@ CCU
App State35Coastal32
App State moneyline −116Coastal moneyline −105
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 10vs ODU
Old Dominion10App State3
Old Dominion moneyline +290App State moneyline −400
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ NCST
App State31NC State41
App State moneyline +370NC State moneyline −588
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs CLT
Charlotte21App State26
Charlotte moneyline +580App State moneyline −1250
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ ECU
App State27East Carolina24
App State moneyline +185East Carolina moneyline −250
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
JAMES MADISON
1
Wins
Avg. points58.0 – 10.0
Avg. total68.0 pts
Over closing total1 of 1
0
APP STATE
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 12James Madison home
App State10James Madison58
App State moneyline +780James Madison moneyline −2500
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (JMU)−556down −588
Moneyline (APP)+360up +365
Spread (APP)+10.5up +12.5
Total57.5down 56.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Appalachian State beat James Madison 34–31 in college football Week 8, on Thursday, October 22 at 7:00 PM ET. The moneyline had James Madison at −588 and Appalachian State at +365.
Our model predicted a final score of James Madison 35, App State 7. Its picks: James Madison to win (−556), lost; James Madison −3.5 (−286), lost; under 64.5 points (−256), lost. The best pick was James Madison to win, at 92% confidence.