Moneyline
JAX MLodds down −667
69%
The Jaguars win the game.
Confidence69%
Model59.6%
SportsbooksOdds83.9%
Edge−24.3
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans prediction, picks and odds
Updated 2:47 PM ET
Jaguars vs Titans picks
3 picks · Jaguars by 34 · 34 pointsSpread
JAX −5.5odds down −250
66%
The Jaguars win by six points or more.
Confidence66%
Model55.1%
SportsbooksOdds67.2%
Edge−12.1
TotalBest pick
Under 52.5odds up −250
77%
The two teams score 52 or fewer points between them.
Confidence77%
Model56.2%
SportsbooksOdds68.6%
Edge−12.4
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Jaguars3141431734
Titans000000
Most likely final scoresJAX 34–0 TEN 0.8%JAX 34–17 TEN 0.6%JAX 27–3 TEN 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 20 full box scores per team · not a betting line
JaguarsTitans
Offense
375
Total yards
284
257
Passing yards
186
118
Rushing yards
98
21
First downs
17
Scoring
4
Touchdowns
0
3
Passing touchdowns
0
1
Rushing touchdowns
0
2
Field goals made
0
Ball security
1
Turnovers
1
1
Interceptions thrown
1
1
Fumbles lost
1
2
Sacks allowed
2
56
Penalty yards
53
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 328.5
Proj. 375
72%
Passing yards
Over 216.5
Proj. 258
72%
Rushing yards
Over 89.5
Proj. 118
72%
First downs
Over 18.5
Proj. 21
72%
Total yards
Over 238.5
Proj. 285
72%
Passing yards
Over 145.5
Proj. 187
72%
Rushing yards
Over 69.5
Proj. 98
72%
First downs
Over 13.5
Proj. 17
74%
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Jaguars
QB
Trevor Lawrence21/31 · 257 pass yds · 2.8 TD · 0.7 INT
257pass yds
RB
Bhayshul Tuten15 carries · 64 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec
64rush yds
WR/TE
Brenton Strange5 rec · 57 yds · 0.0 TD
57rec yds
WR/TE
Jakobi Meyers4 rec · 55 yds · 0.2 TD
55rec yds
Titans
QB
Cameron Ward20/32 · 186 pass yds · 0.0 TD · 0.8 INT
186pass yds
RB
Tony Pollard19 carries · 80 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 2 rec
80rush yds
WR/TE
Carnell Tate6 rec · 81 yds · 0.0 TD
81rec yds
WR/TE
Wan'Dale Robinson5 rec · 37 yds · 0.0 TD
37rec yds
Road form. The Jaguars are 2-1 on the road this season, winning by 7.0 points a game.
Home form. The Titans are 0-4 at home, scoring 14.3 points a game there.
Total move. The total opened at 45.5 and is now 46.5.
Rest. The Jaguars come in on 10 days’ rest, the Titans on 14.
Division game. Two AFC South rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Jacksonville JaguarsTennessee Titans
Jacksonville JaguarsTennessee Titans
6-2Record1-7
2-1 roadRoad / home0-4 home
W2StreakL2
10 daysRest14 days
28.6Points per game18.0
15.1Points allowed24.9
1st AFC SouthDivision4th AFC South
+108
Point differentialseason to date
−55
5.9Yards per play4.8
229Passing yards / game173
117Rushing yards / game100
46%3rd-down conversion36%
65%Red-zone touchdowns52%
15Takeaways11
16Sacks20
6Turnovers12
5.5Yards per play4.5
209Passing yards / game152
94Rushing yards / game97
40%3rd-down conversion39%
50%Red-zone touchdowns50%
6Takeaways4
3Sacks6
2Turnovers5
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares the Jaguars’ road games with the Titans’ home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Jaguars
6-2
WWLWW
Wk 9Nov 5@ BAL
Jaguars33Ravens10
Jaguars moneyline −500Ravens moneyline +375
WFINAL
Wk 8Nov 1vs IND
Colts7Jaguars42
Colts moneyline +390Jaguars moneyline −526
WFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18vs HOU
Texans34Jaguars31
Texans moneyline +122Jaguars moneyline −145
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs PHI
Eagles17Jaguars19
Eagles moneyline +310Jaguars moneyline −417
WFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ CIN
Jaguars22Bengals17
Jaguars moneyline +116Bengals moneyline −149
WFINAL
Titans
1-7
LLWLL
Wk 8Nov 1@ CIN
Titans36Bengals43
Titans moneyline +650Bengals moneyline −1000
LF/OT
Wk 7Oct 25vs CLE
Browns27Titans24
Browns moneyline −130Titans moneyline +110
LFINAL
Wk 6Oct 18@ IND
Titans26Colts20
Titans moneyline +240Colts moneyline −303
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 11vs HOU
Texans26Titans3
Texans moneyline −333Titans moneyline +244
LFINAL
Wk 4Oct 4@ BAL
Titans18Ravens24
Titans moneyline +525Ravens moneyline −769
LFINAL
Standings
2026 regular season · after Week 9Teams in this gameHead-to-head
Last five meetings · regular season and playoffs
JAGUARS
4
Wins
Avg. points23.2 – 11.4
Avg. total34.6 pts
Over closing total2 of 5
1
TITANS
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 18EverBank Stadium
Titans7Jaguars41
Titans moneyline +500Jaguars moneyline −833
2025 · Wk 13Nissan Stadium
Jaguars25Titans3
Jaguars moneyline −278Titans moneyline +220
2024 · Wk 17EverBank Stadium
Titans13Jaguars20
Titans moneyline −114Jaguars moneyline −111
2024 · Wk 14Nissan Stadium
Jaguars10Titans6
Jaguars moneyline +140Titans moneyline −172
2023 · Wk 18Nissan Stadium
Jaguars20Titans28
Jaguars moneyline −182Titans moneyline +155
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (JAX)−667up −625
Moneyline (TEN)+440down +430
Spread (TEN)+10.5+10.5
Total45.5up 46.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Injury report
The teams’ current reports: out, doubtful and questionable firstJaguars
INACTIVE
Alijah HuzzieCB
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
CJ WilliamsWR
Coach's Decision
INACTIVE
Wesley WilliamsDE
Coach's Decision
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 10
IRDaVon HamiltonDTKnee
IREric MurraySElbow
IRPatrick MekariBack
IRZach DurfeeDEUpper Body
IRAnton HarrisonKnee
IRCaleb RansawSKnee
IRGarrett DiGiorgioUndisclosed
IRJared BartlettLeg
IRParker HughesUndisclosed
IRSam MustipherUndisclosed
Titans
QUESTIONABLE
Carnell TateWR
Shoulder
QUESTIONABLE
Jaylon JonesCB
Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Tommy TownsendP
Knee
QUESTIONABLE
Tyjae SpearsRB
Knee
QUESTIONABLE
JC Latham
Finger
QUESTIONABLE
Marcus HarrisCB
Ankle
QUESTIONABLE
Peter Skoronski
Hamstring
Reserve lists (IR / PUP) · 8
IRDorian MausiLBFoot
IRFernando Carmona Jr.Ankle
IRJackson SlaterFoot
IRJaren KanakTEPectoral
IRJaylen HarrellLBKnee - ACL
IRKendell BrooksSUndisclosed
IRMilo EiflerUndisclosed
IRTanoh KpassagnonDEUndisclosed
The Jacksonville Jaguars visit the Tennessee Titans in NFL Week 10 of the 2026 season, on Sunday, November 15 at 1:00 PM ET, at Nissan Stadium, Nashville. The Jaguars come in at 6-2 and the Titans at 1-7. The moneyline has the Jaguars at −625 and the Titans at +430.
Our model predicts a final score of Jaguars 34, Titans 0. Its picks: the Jaguars to win (−667); the Jaguars −5.5 (−250); under 52.5 points (−250). The best pick is under 52.5 points, at 77% confidence.