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Houston vs Colorado prediction, picks and odds

Back to the college football picks NCAA FBS picks Week 11 Friday, November 13 · 10:15 PM ET
Away · 7-2ML −417
10:15PM Kickoff Fri, Nov 13 · ET
ML +300Home · 3-6
SpreadHOU −9.5
Total51.5 points
Kickoff in2d 6h
Updated 3:17 PM ET

Houston vs Colorado picks

3 picks · Houston by 28 · 42 points
MoneylineBest pick
HOU MLodds up −417 91%
Houston wins the game.
Confidence91%
Model76.6% SportsbooksOdds79.5% Edge−2.9
Spread
HOU −3.5odds up −238 78%
Houston wins by four points or more.
Confidence78%
Model67.6% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge−1.0
Total
Under 58.5odds up −250 74%
The two teams score 58 or fewer points between them.
Confidence74%
Model66.7% SportsbooksOdds68.6% Edge−1.9

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Houston7140142135
Colorado000707
Most likely final scoresHOU 35–7 COLO 0.6%HOU 28–21 COLO 0.6%HOU 42–14 COLO 0.6%
Projected box score Model only Built from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
HoustonColorado

Offense

422 Total yards 374
250 Passing yards 251
172 Rushing yards 123
23 First downs 20

Scoring

4 Touchdowns 1
3 Passing touchdowns 1
1 Rushing touchdowns 0
2 Field goals made 0

Ball security

1 Turnovers 1
1 Interceptions thrown 1
1 Fumbles lost 1
0 Sacks allowed 0
52 Penalty yards 61
Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards Over 348.5 Proj. 422 72%
Passing yards Over 192.5 Proj. 250 72%
Rushing yards Over 120.5 Proj. 172 72%
First downs Over 18.5 Proj. 23 74%
Total yards Over 300.5 Proj. 374 72%
Passing yards Over 193.5 Proj. 251 72%
Rushing yards Over 70.5 Proj. 123 72%
First downs Over 16.5 Proj. 20 72%
Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Houston
QB Conner Weigman19/30 · 249 pass yds · 3.0 TD · 0.6 INT 249pass yds
RB Makhi Hughes15 carries · 63 rush yds · 0.2 TD · 1 rec 63rush yds
WR/TE Amare Thomas5 rec · 73 yds · 1.0 TD 73rec yds
WR/TE Trent Walker4 rec · 60 yds · 0.4 TD 60rec yds
Colorado
QB Isaac Wilson17/28 · 220 pass yds · 1.0 TD · 0.8 INT 220pass yds
RB Richard Young11 carries · 57 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec 57rush yds
WR/TE Joseph Williams8 rec · 96 yds · 0.4 TD 96rec yds
WR/TE DeAndre Moore Jr.4 rec · 61 yds · 0.3 TD 61rec yds

Houston visits Colorado in college football Week 11, on Friday, November 13 at 10:15 PM ET. Houston comes in at 7-2 and Colorado at 3-6. The moneyline has Houston at −417 and Colorado at +300.

Our model predicts a final score of Houston 35, Colorado 7. Its picks: Houston to win (−417); Houston −3.5 (−238); under 58.5 points (−250). The best pick is Houston to win, at 91% confidence.