3 picks · Virginia Tech by 7 · 55 points · 3 of 3 won
Moneyline
VT ML▴odds up −385Won79%
Virginia Tech wins the game.
Confidence79%
Model60.9%SportsbooksOdds78.5%Edge−17.6
Spread
GT +18.5▴odds up −256Won85%
Georgia Tech wins, or loses by 18 points or fewer.
Confidence85%
Model79.4%SportsbooksOdds69.2%Edge+10.2
TotalBest pick
Under 64.5▴odds up −250Won85%
The two teams score 64 or fewer points between them.
Confidence85%
Model79.8%SportsbooksOdds68.7%Edge+11.1
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
GTGeorgia Tech710071724
VTVirginia Tech777101431
Most likely final scoresGT 24–31 VT 0.6%GT 21–24 VT 0.5%GT 24–27 VT 0.5%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 18 full box scores per team · not a betting line
GTGeorgia TechVirginia TechVT
Offense
348▲ 428Total yards▼ 409412
228▲ 335Passing yards= 250250
120▼ 93Rushing yards▼ 159162
20▲ 21First downs▼ 1923
Scoring
3= 3Touchdowns= 44
1▲ 2Passing touchdowns▲ 32
2▼ 1Rushing touchdowns▼ 12
1= 1Field goals made▲ 21
Ball security
1▲ 2Turnovers= 11
1= 1Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1= 1Fumbles lost= 11
0Sacks allowed0
66▼ 53Penalty yards▼ 4069
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
GTTotal yardsOver 274.5Proj. 34872%Won · 428
GTPassing yardsOver 170.5Proj. 22872%Won · 335
GTRushing yardsOver 68.5Proj. 12072%Won · 93
GTFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 2074%Won · 21
VTTotal yardsOver 339.5Proj. 41272%Won · 409
VTPassing yardsOver 193.5Proj. 25172%Won · 250
VTRushing yardsOver 109.5Proj. 16272%Won · 159
VTFirst downsOver 18.5Proj. 2375%Won · 19
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.Georgia Tech is 0-1 on the road this season, losing by 7.0 points a game.
Home form.Virginia Tech is 2-1 at home, scoring 50.0 points a game there.
Line move.The spread opened at VT −9.5 and is now VT −8.5, a 1-point move toward Georgia Tech.
Rest.Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.
Tale of the tape
GTGeorgia TechVTVirginia Tech
GTGeorgia TechVTVirginia Tech
2-3Record4-2
0-1 roadRoad / home2-1 home
W1StreakL2
7 daysRest7 days
27.2Points per game37.7
25.8Points allowed20.7
+7Point differentialseason to date+102
239Passing yards / game310
134Rushing yards / game148
36%3rd-down conversion43%
2Takeaways4
0Sacks0
5Turnovers9
268Passing yards / game371
163Rushing yards / game141
27%3rd-down conversion42%
0Takeaways4
0Sacks0
2Turnovers8
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Georgia Tech’s road games with Virginia Tech’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Virginia Tech beat Georgia Tech 34–24 in college football Week 7, on Saturday, October 17 at 3:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Georgia Tech at +300 and Virginia Tech at −435.
Our model predicted a final score of Georgia Tech 24, Virginia Tech 31. Its picks: Virginia Tech to win (−385), won; Georgia Tech +18.5 (−256), won; under 64.5 points (−250), won. The best pick was under 64.5 points, at 85% confidence.