Georgia Tech vs Pittsburgh Prediction & Picks

Score by quarter
Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
GT	0	3	0	8	11
PITT	3	14	3	14	34

Georgia Tech vs Pitt picks

3 picks · Pitt by 7 · 49 points · 2 of 3 won

MoneylineBest pick

PITT MLodds down −370 Won 91%

Pitt wins the game.

Confidence91%

Model69.3% SportsbooksOdds74.3% Edge−5.0

Spread

GT +15.5odds up −238 Lost 78%

Georgia Tech wins, or loses by 15 points or fewer.

Confidence78%

Model67.3% SportsbooksOdds68.3% Edge−1.0

Total

Under 61.5−256 Won 74%

The two teams score 61 or fewer points between them.

Confidence74%

Model68.7% SportsbooksOdds68.9% Edge−0.2

Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.

Predicted score by quarter The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal

Georgia Tech77071421

Pitt77771428

Most likely final scoresGT 21–28 PITT 0.7%GT 28–31 PITT 0.6%GT 21–24 PITT 0.6%

Projected box score Model only Built from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line

Georgia TechPitt

Offense

356▼ 238 Total yards ▲ 461427

261▼ 143 Passing yards ▼ 180246

95= 95 Rushing yards ▲ 281181

20▼ 17 First downs ▲ 2623

Scoring

3▼ 1 Touchdowns = 44

2▼ 0 Passing touchdowns ▼ 12

1= 1 Rushing touchdowns ▲ 32

Ball security

1▲ 2 Turnovers ▲ 31

1▼ 0 Interceptions thrown = 11

1▲ 2 Fumbles lost ▲ 21

0 Sacks allowed 0

62▼ 32 Penalty yards ▲ 9572

Team stat picks The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds

Total yards Over 283.5 Proj. 356 72% Lost · 238

Passing yards Over 204.5 Proj. 262 72% Lost · 143

Rushing yards Over 42.5 Proj. 95 72% Won · 95

First downs Over 15.5 Proj. 20 74% Won · 17

Total yards Over 353.5 Proj. 427 72% Won · 461

Passing yards Over 189.5 Proj. 246 72% Lost · 180

Rushing yards Over 128.5 Proj. 180 72% Won · 281

First downs Over 19.5 Proj. 23 70% Won · 26

Key players Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers

Georgia Tech

QB Alberto Mendoza22/32 · 249 pass yds · 1.8 TD · 0.9 INT 249pass yds

RB Trelain Maddox7 carries · 32 rush yds · 0.5 TD · 3 rec 32rush yds

WR/TE Jordan Allen6 rec · 68 yds · 0.2 TD 68rec yds

WR/TE Kevin Roche Jr.4 rec · 40 yds · 0.2 TD 40rec yds

Pitt

QB Holden Geriner11/19 · 127 pass yds · 0.5 TD · 0.6 INT 127pass yds

RB Damon Ferguson Jr.12 carries · 74 rush yds · 0.7 TD · 2 rec 74rush yds

WR/TE Cataurus Hicks3 rec · 71 yds · 0.6 TD 71rec yds

WR/TE Carson Kent3 rec · 36 yds · 0.2 TD 36rec yds

Road form. Georgia Tech is 0-2 on the road this season, losing by 8.5 points a game.

Home form. Pitt is 4-1 at home, scoring 34.8 points a game there.

Line move. The spread opened at PITT −6.5 and is now PITT −7.5, a 1-point move toward Pitt.

Rest. Both teams come in on 7 days’ rest.

Streak. Pitt has lost 3 in a row.

Tale of the tape

Georgia TechPittsburgh

2-5Record5-3

0-2 roadRoad / home4-1 home

L2StreakL3

7 daysRest7 days

26.7Points per game31.6

30.3Points allowed20.9

−25 Point differentialseason to date +86

255Passing yards / game291

123Rushing yards / game154

34%3rd-down conversion42%

3Takeaways11

0Sacks0

9Turnovers8

Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Georgia Tech’s road games with Pitt’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.