Moneyline
JMU MLodds up −357
Won 95%
James Madison wins the game.
Confidence95%
Model86.7%
SportsbooksOdds81.6%
Edge+5.1
Georgia State vs James Madison prediction, picks and odds
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GAST | 7 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 22 |
| JMU | 14 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49 |
GEORGIA ST 13%
Pre-game win chance
87% JAMES MADISON
JMU by 28 · 42 points
Updated Oct 17, 3:54 PM ET
Georgia St vs James Madison picks
3 picks · James Madison by 28 · 42 points · 2 of 3 wonSpread
JMU −4.5odds up −213
Won 85%
James Madison wins by five points or more.
Confidence85%
Model78.2%
SportsbooksOdds69.2%
Edge+9.0
TotalBest pick
Under 66.5odds up −270
Lost 82%
The two teams score 66 or fewer points between them.
Confidence82%
Model75.4%
SportsbooksOdds70.4%
Edge+5.0
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarter
The model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
Georgia St007007
James Madison714772135
Most likely final scoresGAST 7–35 JMU 0.7%GAST 14–38 JMU 0.7%GAST 14–42 JMU 0.6%
Projected box score
Model only
Built from 17 full box scores per team · not a betting line
Georgia StJames Madison
Offense
359▲ 373
Total yards
▲ 515421
238▼ 185
Passing yards
▲ 265217
121▲ 188
Rushing yards
▲ 250204
19▲ 22
First downs
▲ 2421
Scoring
1▲ 3
Touchdowns
▲ 74
1= 1
Passing touchdowns
▲ 32
0▲ 2
Rushing touchdowns
▲ 42
0▲ 1
Field goals made
▼ 02
Ball security
1▲ 2
Turnovers
= 11
1= 1
Interceptions thrown
▼ 01
1= 1
Fumbles lost
= 11
0
Sacks allowed
0
63▼ 40
Penalty yards
▲ 8556
Team stat picks
The model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
Total yards
Over 285.5
Proj. 359
72%
Won · 373
Passing yards
Over 180.5
Proj. 238
72%
Won · 185
Rushing yards
Over 68.5
Proj. 121
72%
Won · 188
First downs
Over 14.5
Proj. 19
75%
Won · 22
Total yards
Over 348.5
Proj. 421
72%
Won · 515
Passing yards
Over 160.5
Proj. 217
72%
Won · 265
Rushing yards
Over 151.5
Proj. 204
72%
Won · 250
First downs
Over 17.5
Proj. 21
70%
Won · 24
Key players
Projected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Georgia St
QB
Cameran Brown18/31 · 212 pass yds · 0.9 TD · 0.7 INT
212pass yds
RB
Lanear McCrary Jr.12 carries · 42 rush yds · 0.0 TD · 1 rec
42rush yds
WR/TE
Rodshaun Dorsey4 rec · 51 yds · 0.5 TD
51rec yds
WR/TE
DJ Riles3 rec · 37 yds · 0.0 TD
37rec yds
James Madison
QB
Camden Coleman15/26 · 179 pass yds · 1.4 TD · 0.6 INT
179pass yds
RB
George Pettaway16 carries · 100 rush yds · 1.0 TD · 2 rec
100rush yds
WR/TE
Cole Keller3 rec · 42 yds · 0.5 TD
42rec yds
WR/TE
Michael Scott3 rec · 33 yds · 0.1 TD
33rec yds
Road form. Georgia St is 1-1 on the road this season.
Home form. James Madison is 3-0 at home, scoring 50.7 points a game there.
Line move. The spread opened at JMU −12.5 and is now JMU −8.5, a 4-point move toward Georgia St.
Rest. Georgia St comes in on 14 days’ rest, James Madison on 7.
Division game. Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
Georgia StateJames Madison
Georgia StateJames Madison
4-1Record6-0
1-1 roadRoad / home3-0 home
W2StreakW6
14 daysRest7 days
39.4Points per game41.8
19.0Points allowed15.0
+102
Point differentialseason to date
+161
259Passing yards / game233
210Rushing yards / game219
51%3rd-down conversion39%
5Takeaways10
0Sacks0
8Turnovers4
268Passing yards / game226
217Rushing yards / game258
48%3rd-down conversion50%
2Takeaways4
0Sacks0
5Turnovers2
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares Georgia St’s road games with James Madison’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
Georgia St
4-1
WWLWW
Wk 5Oct 3vs ODU
Old Dominion10Georgia St42
Old Dominion moneyline +100Georgia St moneyline −132
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs NIU
N Illinois14Georgia St35
N Illinois moneyline +255Georgia St moneyline −400
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ UCF
Georgia St30UCF44
Georgia St moneyline +600UCF moneyline −1111
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ KENN
Georgia St31Kennesaw St17
Georgia St moneyline +235Kennesaw St moneyline −323
WFINAL
Wk 1Sep 4vs NA
NC A&T10Georgia St59
NC A&T: no odds on recordGeorgia St: no odds on record
WFINAL
James Madison
6-0
WWWWW
Wk 6Oct 10@ GASO
James Madison27GA Southern24
James Madison moneyline −294GA Southern moneyline +230
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3vs MRSH
Marshall17James Madison45
Marshall moneyline +480James Madison moneyline −909
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26@ ODU
James Madison46Old Dominion20
James Madison moneyline −270Old Dominion moneyline +195
WFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ SDSU
James Madison26San Diego St13
James Madison moneyline +110San Diego St moneyline −141
WFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12vs WAGN
Wagner3James Madison87
Wagner moneyline +1000James Madison: no odds on record
WFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this gameSun Belt East
#Team
WLT
W-L
PCTPFPA
DIFFSTRKSTK
Head-to-head
The last meeting · regular season and playoffs
GEORGIA ST
0
Wins
Avg. points7.0 – 14.0
Avg. total21.0 pts
Over closing total0 of 1
1
JAMES MADISON
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 6Center Parc Stadium
Georgia St7James Madison14
Georgia St moneyline −1250James Madison moneyline +660
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (GAST)+370down +275
Moneyline (JMU)−526up −370
Spread (JMU)−12.5up −8.5
Total54.5up 57.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
James Madison beat Georgia State 49–22 in college football Week 7, on Saturday, October 17 at 12:00 PM ET. The moneyline had Georgia State at +275 and James Madison at −370.
Our model predicted a final score of Georgia St 7, James Madison 35. Its picks: James Madison to win (−357), won; James Madison −4.5 (−213), won; under 66.5 points (−270), lost. The best pick was under 66.5 points, at 82% confidence.