2 picks · Old Dominion by 7 · 49 points · 0 of 2 won
Moneyline
ODU ML▾odds down +128Lost59%
Old Dominion wins the game.
Confidence59%
Model53.0%SportsbooksOdds37.2%Edge+15.8
TotalBest pick
Over 44.5▴odds up −118Lost72%
The two teams score 45 or more points between them.
Confidence72%
Model60.7%SportsbooksOdds56.9%Edge+3.8
Reading a pick: Sportsbooks is the win chance built into the odds when the pick went up, Model is our model’s own number, and Edge is the gap between them. Every pick is graded once the game is final.
Predicted score by quarterThe model’s most likely score in each quarter, away team first
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q41st halfFinal
GASOGA Southern77071421
ODUOld Dominion77771428
Most likely final scoresGASO 21–28 ODU 0.6%GASO 21–24 ODU 0.5%GASO 24–31 ODU 0.5%
Projected box scoreModel onlyBuilt from 19 full box scores per team · not a betting line
GASOGA SouthernOld DominionODU
Offense
357▲ 405Total yards▼ 266354
226▲ 272Passing yards▲ 201187
131▲ 133Rushing yards▼ 65167
19▲ 28First downs▼ 1619
Scoring
3▼ 2Touchdowns▼ 23
2▼ 1Passing touchdowns= 22
1= 1Rushing touchdowns▼ 01
0▲ 3Field goals made▼ 02
Ball security
1= 1Turnovers▲ 21
1= 1Interceptions thrown▼ 01
1▼ 0Fumbles lost▲ 21
0Sacks allowed0
60▲ 120Penalty yards▲ 10062
Team stat picksThe model’s own lines on each team’s yards and first downs · no sportsbook odds
GASOTotal yardsOver 284.5Proj. 35772%Won · 405
GASOPassing yardsOver 169.5Proj. 22772%Won · 272
GASORushing yardsOver 78.5Proj. 13172%Won · 133
GASOFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1971%Won · 28
ODUTotal yardsOver 280.5Proj. 35472%Lost · 266
ODUPassing yardsOver 129.5Proj. 18772%Won · 201
ODURushing yardsOver 114.5Proj. 16772%Lost · 65
ODUFirst downsOver 15.5Proj. 1973%Won · 16
Key playersProjected lines for each team’s quarterback, running back and top receivers
Road form.GA Southern is 1-2 on the road this season, losing by 4.0 points a game.
Home form.Old Dominion is 1-2 at home, scoring 22.7 points a game there.
Total move.The total opened at 50.5 and is now 44.5.
Rest.Both teams come in on 5 days’ rest.
Division game.Two East rivals who meet twice a season and know each other’s schemes.
Tale of the tape
GASOGeorgia SouthernODUOld Dominion
GASOGeorgia SouthernODUOld Dominion
2-4Record2-4
1-2 roadRoad / home1-2 home
L1StreakW1
5 daysRest5 days
24.7Points per game18.2
24.3Points allowed27.5
+2Point differentialseason to date−56
276Passing yards / game143
120Rushing yards / game124
41%3rd-down conversion33%
7Takeaways11
0Sacks0
6Turnovers13
224Passing yards / game164
123Rushing yards / game116
38%3rd-down conversion35%
5Takeaways5
0Sacks0
2Turnovers6
Season to date, per game, from the box scores; “road · home” compares GA Southern’s road games with Old Dominion’s home games. The brighter bar marks the better side.
Recent games
Most recent first · closing moneyline beside each score · form reads oldest to newestMost recent first · closing moneyline
GASOGA Southern2-4LLLWL
Wk 6Oct 10vs JMU
JMUJames Madison27GASOGA Southern24
James Madison moneyline −294GA Southern moneyline +230
LFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ CCU
GASOGA Southern31CCUCoastal24
GA Southern moneyline −143Coastal moneyline +107
WFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs HOU
HOUHouston42GASOGA Southern28
Houston moneyline −1000GA Southern moneyline +520
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19@ JVST
GASOGA Southern27JVSTJax State31
GA Southern moneyline +137Jax State moneyline −185
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ CLEM
GASOGA Southern7CLEMClemson22
GA Southern moneyline +660Clemson moneyline −1429
LFINAL
ODUOld Dominion2-4LLLLW
Wk 6Oct 10@ APP
ODUOld Dominion10APPApp State3
Old Dominion moneyline +290App State moneyline −400
WFINAL
Wk 5Oct 3@ GAST
ODUOld Dominion10GASTGeorgia St42
Old Dominion moneyline +100Georgia St moneyline −132
LFINAL
Wk 4Sep 26vs JMU
JMUJames Madison46ODUOld Dominion20
James Madison moneyline −270Old Dominion moneyline +195
LFINAL
Wk 3Sep 19vs ECU
ECUEast Carolina20ODUOld Dominion17
East Carolina moneyline +105Old Dominion moneyline −135
LFINAL
Wk 2Sep 12@ VT
ODUOld Dominion21VTVirginia Tech44
Old Dominion moneyline +660Virginia Tech moneyline −1429
LFINAL
Standings
2026 season · conference standings · todayTeams in this game
Meetings · most recent first · closing moneyline beside each scoreMost recent first · closing moneyline
2025 · Wk 13GA Southern home
ODUOld Dominion45GASOGA Southern10
Old Dominion moneyline −400GA Southern moneyline +280
Line movement
MarketOpenNow
Moneyline (GASO)−175−175
Moneyline (ODU)+143+143
Spread (ODU)+3.5+3.5
Total50.5▾down 44.5
Where each line opened and where it sits now at the sportsbooks we follow. Spreads are listed for the home team.
Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 23–15 in college football Week 7, on Thursday, October 15 at 7:30 PM ET. The moneyline had Georgia Southern at −175 and Old Dominion at +143.
Our model predicted a final score of GA Southern 21, Old Dominion 28. Its picks: Old Dominion to win (+128), lost; over 44.5 points (−118), lost. The best pick was over 44.5 points, at 72% confidence.